Orchid House, Howe Lane, Goxhill, Barrow-upon-Humber, DN19 7JD

UPRN:200000889451Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: E (44)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Orchid House, Howe Lane, Goxhill, Barrow-upon-Humber, DN19 7JD

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£492,000

£467k - £516kHigh

Estimate

£492k

Range

£467k – £516k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,400

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,400

Yield

3.39%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Orchid House earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 62/100. Investment score 43/100 reflects below-average fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (30/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

62/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

43/ 100

Mixed

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

30/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 7Bike 26

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.6% (HIGH), sold-comps -62.8%, £/sqft -62.9%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000889451· as of 10 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.4%· as of 1 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.4%; range width penalty ×0.77
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1400/mo (range 1250-1550)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,189/mo, -85% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 191 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
82 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£371,000£569,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£495,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,400/mo

Evidenced range £1,250-£1,550

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £164,550
Net cash flow: -£701/mo
Cash on cash: -5.1%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.84 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000889451Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.4%Valuation edge · as of 1 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1400/mo (range 1250-1550)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1400/mo (range 1250-1550)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 191 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£492,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,400

Gross Yield3.39%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-5.6%

5y Growth-1.6%

10y Growth+0.5%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0DN19 7JD

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PA/2026/909
Planning permission for roof lifts and re-modelling with new additional highway access
Pending
PA/2026/539
Planning permission to erect a 12m x 6m metal clad workshop and re-positioning of static caravan
Pending
PA/2026/449
Outline planning permission to erect two self-build dwellings including access, with appearance landscaping, layout and scale reserved for subsequent consideration
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership76.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

7 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£30,012

Population Density397 /km²

Owner Occupied82%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 60%65+ 24%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Goxhill Primary School
0.5 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
John Harrison C of E Primary School
1.7 mi
Good
New Holland Church of England and Methodist Primary School
1.9 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
East Halton Primary School
2.6 mi
Good

2 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Baytree Court Howe Lane
-
£192k
-
Bridlington House Howe Lane
-
£515k
-
The White Cottage Howe Lane
-
£190k
-
The Hollies Howe Lane
-
£135k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN