Blacksmiths Lodge, Main Street, Melton Ross, Barnetby, DN38 6DR

UPRN:200000892327Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1991-1995

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: E (47)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Blacksmiths Lodge, Main Street, Melton Ross, Barnetby, DN38 6DR

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£449,000

£426k - £471kHigh

Estimate

£449k

Range

£426k – £471k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,450

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,450

Yield

3.87%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Blacksmiths Lodge earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 57/100. Investment score 56/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (10/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

57/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

56/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

19/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

10/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 6Bike 29

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.2% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000892327· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.9%; range width penalty ×0.79
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1450/mo (range 1300-1600)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -963/mo, -66% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 192 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
38 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£337,500£517,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£450,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,450/mo

Evidenced range £1,300-£1,600

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £148,800
Net cash flow: -£515/mo
Cash on cash: -4.2%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.95 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000892327Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1450/mo (range 1300-1600)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1450/mo (range 1300-1600)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 192 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£449,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,450

Gross Yield3.87%

1y Growth-58.0%

3y Growth+11.3%

5y Growth+8.6%

10y Growth+6.3%

Last Sold Price£238,000 (2004-03-18)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0DN38 6DR

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PA/2026/828
Planning permission to vary condition 2 of PA/2026/92 with a previous amendment under PA/2026/500, namely to make changes in terms of size and placement of aspects of the planned development
Pending
PA/2026/500
Planning permission to vary condition 2 of PA/2026/92 namely to make changes in terms of size and placement of aspects of the planned development
Conditions
PA/2026/92
Planning permission to erect a single-storey rear extension, demolition of the current single-storey side utility and re-erection of said utility with a slight extension
Conditions

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership83.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2004-03-18
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

21 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£30,012

Population Density114 /km²

Owner Occupied70%

Age Distribution

0-15 20%16-64 58%65+ 22%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Barnabas CofE Primary School, Barnetby
1.0 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Kirmington CofE Primary School
2.4 mi
GoodConcerns
Ulceby St Nicholas Church of England Primary School
3.2 mi
Good
Wrawby St Mary's CofE Primary School
3.3 mi
Good

1 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

The Old Chapel Caistor Road
-
£160k
-
2 Mount Cottage
-
£157k
-
The Oaks
-
£638k
-
Chapel House
-
£375k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN