New Grove Farm, Monmouth Road, Trelleck, Monmouth, NP25 4AF

UPRN:200000948146Detached House4 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: B (83)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

New Grove Farm, Monmouth Road, Trelleck, Monmouth, NP25 4AF

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

15 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,245,000

£1.18M - £1.31MHigh

Estimate

£1.25M

Range

£1.18M – £1.31M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£4,000

£3k - £5k

Monthly

£4,000

Yield

3.84%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

New Grove Farm earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 82/100. Investment score 74/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

82/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

74/ 100

High

Crime Score

7/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.4% (HIGH), sold-comps -50.1%, £/sqft -50.1%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000948146· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 11 comps, dispersion 10.8%· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.8%; range width penalty ×0.68
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4000/mo (range 3450-4500)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -2,463/mo, -62% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 113 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
146 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£937,500£1,437,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,250,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£4,000/mo

Evidenced range £3,450-£4,500

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £445,050
Net cash flow: -£1,450/mo
Cash on cash: -3.9%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.95 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000948146Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 11 comps, dispersion 10.8%Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4000/mo (range 3450-4500)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 4000/mo (range 3450-4500)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 113 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,245,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£4,000

Gross Yield3.84%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.5%

5y Growth+0.2%

10y Growth+2.5%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP25 4AF

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

DM/2026/00462
Discharge of conditions 3 (soft landscape works), 4 (schedule of landscape maintenance) and 5 (ecological enhancements) of planning cosnent DM/2024/00566.
Approved
DM/2026/00090
Proposed replacement garage with 3 bay carport & garden store with accommodation over and associated works.
Approved

View Planning Timeline