4 Hollins Close, Chepstow, NP16 5HY

UPRN:200000950281Purpose Built Flat1 bedsBuilt 1983-1990

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: D (64)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£138,000

£131k - £145kHigh

Estimate

£138k

Range

£131k – £145k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£600

£550 - £650

Monthly

£600

Yield

5.34%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

4 Hollins Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 52/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

52/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

100

Crime Score

100/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +2.2% (HIGH), sold-comps -2.2%, £/sqft -2.1%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000950281· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 17.5%· as of 1 Nov 2026
Rental economics2.3/40
gross yield 5.3%; range width penalty ×0.87
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 600/mo (range 550-650)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -230/mo, -38% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
no listing-history inputs (first published date, price changes)
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
226 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£101,000£155,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£134,950

At the asking price

Monthly rent£600/mo

Evidenced range £550-£650

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £41,985
Net cash flow: -£40/mo
Cash on cash: -1.1%
Score at this price: 17

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.32 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000950281Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 17.5%Valuation edge · as of 1 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 600/mo (range 550-650)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 600/mo (range 550-650)
Seller motivation could not be scored
no listing-history inputs (first published date, price changes)

Property risk deep-dive →flood, subsidence, crime, environment - the full domain

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£138,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£600

Gross Yield5.34%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.1%

5y Growth+2.0%

10y Growth+4.0%

Last Sold Price£90,000 (2004-06-22)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP16 5HY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P1277/26/TPO
Prune Sycamore covered by A1 of DFTPO 50 to give a clearance of 2-3 metres from 84 Bigstone Meadow in accordance with BS3998:2010.
Pending
P1208/26/TPO
Undertake the following works to trees covered by A2 of Tree Preservation Order number DFTPO 152. Remove dead branch from Lime tree. Reduce Sycamore over shed and garden by approximately 2 metres. Reduce Beech over garden and greenhouse by approximately 2 metres. Trim tops of group of Yews by approximately 1 metre.
Pending
P1193/26/LD2
Application under section 192 to establish whether the erection of a single storey rear extension with associated hard landscaping alterations requires planning permission.
Pending

View Planning Timeline