The Court House, Llanvair Discoed, Chepstow, NP16 6LX

UPRN:200000953087Detached House5 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band IEPC: E (40)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 3mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

The Court House, Llanvair Discoed, Chepstow, NP16 6LX

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,191,000

£1.13M - £1.25MHigh

Estimate

£1.19M

Range

£1.13M – £1.25M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£4,250

£4k - £5k

Monthly

£4,250

Yield

5.10%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

The Court House earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 63/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

63/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

60/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

21/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 30 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 16% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +16.0% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000953087· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics0.6/40
gross yield 5.1%; range width penalty ×0.75; the estimate this rent rides on sits 16% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4250/mo (range 3750-4700)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 16% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,225/mo, -29% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 234 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 30 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
226 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£750,000£1,150,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,000,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£4,250/mo

Evidenced range £3,750-£4,700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £345,050
Net cash flow: -£433/mo
Cash on cash: -1.5%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.26 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000953087Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4250/mo (range 3750-4700)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 16% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 30 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 4250/mo (range 3750-4700)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 16% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,191,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£4,250

Gross Yield5.10%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.1%

5y Growth+2.0%

10y Growth+4.0%

Last Sold Price£600,000 (2004-09-29)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

2NP16 6LX

Approval Rate

0%12mo

Development

low

DM/2026/00857
Agricultural gateway going out from the yard at Lower House Farm onto the single track road heading to the A48. Proposing putting a farm gateway and short track from the passing place up to the existing track that is already there out the back of the farmyard. The farm track would be in the field directly next to the main farm yard and single track road that heads out of Llanvair Discoed village back to the A48. The passing place is already there and the gateway would be at the edge of this going directly out onto the existing road.
Conditions
DM/2026/00797
Renewal of existing boundary walling.
Pending
DM/2026/00476
Agricultural gateway going out from the yard at Lower House Farm. The passing place is already there and the gateway would be at the edge of this going directly out onto the existing road.
Rejected

View Planning Timeline