Flat 8, St Maur House, St Maur Gardens, Chepstow, NP16 5NZ

UPRN:200000954115Purpose Built Flat1 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: E (39)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 8, St Maur House, St Maur Gardens, Chepstow, NP16 5NZ

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£147,000

£139k - £154kHigh

Estimate

£147k

Range

£139k – £154k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£650

£600 - £700

Monthly

£650

Yield

6.00%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 8 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 83/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

83/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

10/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +11.6% (HIGH), sold-comps +12.2%, £/sqft +12.2%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000954115· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 21%· as of 31 Oct 2026
Rental economics7.1/40
gross yield 6.0%; range width penalty ×0.89
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 650/mo (range 600-700)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -201/mo, -31% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 3 price cut(s), 366 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
226 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£97,500£149,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£130,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£650/mo

Evidenced range £600-£700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £40,400
Net cash flow: £11/mo
Cash on cash: 0.3%
Score at this price: 24

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.48 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000954115Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 21%Valuation edge · as of 31 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 650/mo (range 600-700)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 650/mo (range 600-700)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 3 price cut(s), 366 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
3 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£147,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£650

Gross Yield6.00%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.1%

5y Growth+2.0%

10y Growth+4.0%

Last Sold Price£79,500 (2013-02-28)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP16 5NZ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

DM/2026/01126
East Mon are undertaking a refurbishment of No 11 Beaufort Square. The Grade 2 listed property, located in the centre of Chepstow fronting the High Street, has been vacant for 12-18 months. The proposed development will see a material change of use of the first floor from Class A2 (Financial and Professional Services) to Class C3 (Dwellinghouse), to provide a one one-bedroom flat. The proposal is confined to the first floor. No alterations are proposed to the principal external elevations, and the existing windows, shop front and other external architectural features are to be retained unaltered. The first floor is recorded as having been in residential use at an earlier date before its more recent use as an estate agent's office (Class A2).
Pending
DM/2026/01090
Mod or Removal of Condition 3 for planning app DM/2026/00382
Pending
DM/2026/01083
New signage and lighting
Pending

View Planning Timeline