5 Back Lane, Shipbourne, Tonbridge, TN11 9PS

UPRN:200000958943Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1976-1982

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: D (65)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

5 Back Lane, Shipbourne, Tonbridge, TN11 9PS

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£597,000

£567k - £627kHigh

Estimate

£597k

Range

£567k – £627k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,250

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,250

Yield

4.50%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

5 Back Lane earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 64/100. Investment score 55/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (5/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

64/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

55/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

9/ 100

Low

Walkability

5/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 5Bike 33

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.5% (HIGH), sold-comps -44.2%, £/sqft -44.4%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000958943· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 19.6%· as of 23 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.5%; range width penalty ×0.80
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2250/mo (range 2050-2500)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,008/mo, -45% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 108 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
123 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£450,000£690,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£600,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,250/mo

Evidenced range £2,050-£2,500

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £201,300
Net cash flow: -£467/mo
Cash on cash: -2.8%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.11 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200000958943Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 19.6%Valuation edge · as of 23 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2250/mo (range 2050-2500)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2250/mo (range 2050-2500)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 108 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£597,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,250

Gross Yield4.50%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.2%

5y Growth+1.4%

10y Growth+2.7%

Last Sold Price£525,000 (2021-12-21)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0TN11 9PS

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02091/TNCA
4 x Prunus (applicants ref. G1) - Reduce back to previous points as specified.
Pending
26/01713/FL
Single storey front extension and external ramp. Insulated flat roof with sun tunnel
Pending
26/01716/TNCA
1 x Large Oak - Reduce over-extended limbs over the garage and car parking area by approximately 6 to 8 metres, pruning back to suitable secondary growth points as specified. Reduce remainder of crown by approximately 2 to 3 metres where required, in order to rebalance the overall crown structure as specified.
Approved

View Planning Timeline