Manor Lodge, Stroud Common, Shamley Green, Guildford, GU5 0SZ

UPRN:200001535147Detached Bungalow2 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: E (51)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 6mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Manor Lodge, Stroud Common, Shamley Green, Guildford, GU5 0SZ

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,143,000

£1.09M - £1.20MHigh

Estimate

£1.14M

Range

£1.09M – £1.20M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£4,950

£5k - £5k

Monthly

£4,950

Yield

5.94%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Manor Lodge earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 62/100. Investment score 53/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (10/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

62/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

53/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

10/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 3Bike 18

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 10 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the advert has 4 bedrooms but the valuation snapshot describes 2 - an extension, conversion or HMO the evidence does not reflect, or a different home. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +12.5% (HIGH), sold-comps -28.2%, £/sqft -28.2%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200001535147· as of 10 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 16.7%· as of 31 Oct 2026
Rental economics6.1/40
gross yield 5.9%; range width penalty ×0.82
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4950/mo (range 4500-5450)· as of 10 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -710/mo, -14% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 10 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 87 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 10 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
80 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£750,000£1,150,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,000,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£4,950/mo

Evidenced range £4,500-£5,450

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £345,050
Net cash flow: £52/mo
Cash on cash: 0.2%
Score at this price: 21

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.47 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200001535147Valuation edge · as of 10 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 16.7%Valuation edge · as of 31 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4950/mo (range 4500-5450)Rental economics · as of 10 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 10 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 10 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 4950/mo (range 4500-5450)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 87 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
2 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,143,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£4,950

Gross Yield5.94%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-2.1%

5y Growth+0.2%

10y Growth+1.6%

Last Sold Price£720,000 (2021-04-01)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1GU5 0SZ

Approval Rate

0%12mo

Development

low

WA/2026/01929
Erection of extension to existing ancillary annexe garage to provide workshop and machinery store following demolition of existing greenhouse.
Pending
WA/2026/01621
Listed building consent for the installation of a concealed air-conditioning system conservation access rooflight and handhold to provide controlled maintenance access. Replacement of rainwater goods external cornice sections and associated works.
Approved
WA/2026/01144
Certificate of lawfulness under section 192 for works to dwelling and outbuildings to include conversion of garage to habitable accommodation extension to existing porch conversion of open shed/storage to enclosed garage conversion of stable to workshop replacement windows and doors with additional window at first floor replacement link roof to outbuildings and installation of rooflights.
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership62.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2021-04-01
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

2 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£42,326

Population Density115 /km²

Owner Occupied75%

Age Distribution

0-15 20%16-64 58%65+ 22%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Bramley Grange Academy
1.1 mi
Inspected as Grafham Grange School (URN 145383) on 6 Mar 2024
Wonersh and Shamley Green CofE Aided Primary School
1.1 mi
GoodImproving
Elysian, Shamley Green
1.2 mi
Inspected by ISI
Bramley CofE Infant School and Nursery
2.0 mi
Inspected as Bramley CofE Aided Infant School and Nursery (URN 125243) on 5 Mar 2019

3 of 7 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Manor Lodge Stroud Common
-
£720k
-
Cypress Cottages Stroud Common
-
£535k
-
Greenlands Stroud Common
-
£830k
-
Cypress Cottages Stroud Common
-
£410k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN