522 Ferndale Road, Swindon, SN2 1HW

UPRN:200001616601Semi-Detached House2 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: D (65)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 2mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£220,000

£209k - £231kHigh

Estimate

£220k

Range

£209k – £231k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,050

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,050

Yield

4.34%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

522 Ferndale Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 69/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (56/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

69/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

60/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

35/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

56/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 16Bike 59

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -31.8% (HIGH)] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200001616601· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.3%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1050/mo (range 1000-1150)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -582/mo, -55% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 86 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
384 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£217,500£333,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£290,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,050/mo

Evidenced range £1,000-£1,150

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £92,800
Net cash flow: -£252/mo
Cash on cash: -3.3%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.07 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200001616601Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1050/mo (range 1000-1150)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1050/mo (range 1000-1150)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 86 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£220,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,050

Gross Yield4.34%

1y Growth-99.4%

3y Growth+0.6%

5y Growth+3.9%

10y Growth+3.4%

Last Sold Price£201,000 (2026-01-26)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1SN2 1HW

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

S/PAOTH/26/1348
Prior approval notification for change of use from offices (Class B1) to 9 residential apartments (Class C3).
Pending
S/HOU/26/1339
Erection of a single storey rear extension and associated works.
Pending
S/COND/26/1310
Discharge of Condition 3 (Roof Plan) from Planning Application S/LBC/25/1323 - Installation of PV panels to 11 existing south facing roof slopes.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership58.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2026-01-26
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

29 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£33,135

Population Density2,218 /km²

Owner Occupied47%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 71%65+ 13%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Mary's Catholic Primary School
0.3 mi
Inspected as St Mary's Catholic Primary School (URN 126494) on 8 Feb 2010
Even Swindon Primary School
0.4 mi
Inspected as Even Swindon Primary School (URN 126213) on 9 May 2024
Ferndale Primary School & Nursery
0.4 mi
Good
EOTAS Swindon
0.5 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

4 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

522 Ferndale Road
-
£201k
-
502 Ferndale Road
-
£502
-
488 Ferndale Road
-
£510
-
508 Ferndale Road
-
£510
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN