Flat 51, Caswell Bay Court, Caswell Road, Caswell, Swansea, SA3 4RY

UPRN:200001807643Flat/MaisonetteBeds -Built 1991-1995

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (78)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 51, Caswell Bay Court, Caswell Road, Caswell, Swansea, SA3 4RY

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£387,000

£348k - £426kMedium

Estimate

£387k

Range

£348k – £426k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,650

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,650

Yield

4.95%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 51 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 82/100. Investment score 67/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

82/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

67/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

7/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -3.4% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200001807643· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 5.0%; range width penalty ×0.90
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1650/mo (range 1500-1750)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -887/mo, -54% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 63 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
273 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£300,000£460,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£400,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,650/mo

Evidenced range £1,500-£1,750

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £131,300
Net cash flow: -£208/mo
Cash on cash: -1.9%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.22 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200001807643Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1650/mo (range 1500-1750)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1650/mo (range 1500-1750)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 63 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£387,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,650

Gross Yield4.95%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.3%

5y Growth+2.1%

10y Growth+3.6%

Last Sold Price£255,000 (2013-03-28)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningSignificant
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SA3 4RY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2026/1814/DOC
Discharge of conditions 3 (materials), 4 (levels), 5 (landscaping) , 6 (ecological enhancement) and 12 (montbretia) of planning permission 2026/0596/S73 granted 22nd October 2026
Pending
2026/1676/TPO
To lop one Silver Birch tree covered by TPO No: 120
Pending
2026/1615/FUL
Extension of an existing raised decked area, installation of a glass roof veranda, retaining walls and rear bi-fold doors
Pending

View Planning Timeline