Pillmawr Cottage, Pillmawr Road, Caerleon, Newport, NP18 3QZ

UPRN:200002951719Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: E (50)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Pillmawr Cottage, Pillmawr Road, Caerleon, Newport, NP18 3QZ

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£477,000

£453k - £501kHigh

Estimate

£477k

Range

£453k – £501k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,800

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,800

Yield

4.80%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Pillmawr Cottage earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 83/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

83/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

6/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +5.7% (HIGH), sold-comps -39.8%, £/sqft -39.7%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200002951719· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 16%· as of 28 Oct 2026
Rental economics2.7/40
gross yield 5.3% on contractual rent (listing-disclosed tenancy)
- listing_factscontractual rent 2000/mo (tenanted)· as of 4 Nov 2026
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -558/mo, -28% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 72 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
177 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£337,500£517,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£450,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,800/mo

Evidenced range £1,650-£1,950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £148,800
Net cash flow: -£273/mo
Cash on cash: -2.2%
Score at this price: 17

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.19 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200002951719Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 16%Valuation edge · as of 28 Oct 2026
listing_factscontractual rent 2000/mo (tenanted)Rental economics · as of 4 Nov 2026
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligence

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 72 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →flood, subsidence, crime, environment - the full domain

Plan

Before you offer

1. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£477,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,800

Gross Yield4.80%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.6%

5y Growth+2.3%

10y Growth+4.1%

Last Sold Price£217,000 (2019-07-26)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP18 3QZ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0814
PROPOSED SINGLE STOREY SIDE EXTENSION AND THE CONVERSION OF PART OF GARAGE TO HABITABLE ACCOMMODATION
Pending
26/0786
S73 APPLICATION TO VARY 1 (APPROVED PLANS) OF 20/0496 WORKS OF EXCAVATION AND CONSTRUCTION OF RETAINING WALLS TO FACILITATE THE PROVISION OF A GROUND FLOOR GARAGE AND STORE WITH THE GARAGE ROOF TO BE USED AS A RAISED PATIO AREA. CONVERSION OF EXISTING GARAGE. PROVISION OF A NEW ACCESS ONTO GROVE PARK DRIVE. RETENTION OF ACCESS STEPS AND FENCING FACING ONTO GROVE PARK DRIVE. AMENDMENTS INCLUDE REVISED BOUNDARY TREATMENT, REMOVAL OF LANTERN LIGHT, ADDITIONAL BALLUSTRADING AND A HANDRAIL TO PATIO AREA
Pending
26/0749
LAWFUL DEVELOPMENT CERTIFICATE (PROPOSED) FOR A GARAGE CONVERSION
Approved

View Planning Timeline