Shell Cottage, Pill Green, Milford Haven, SA73 2NJ

UPRN:200003246196Detached HouseBeds -Built -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: -

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Shell Cottage, Pill Green, Milford Haven, SA73 2NJ

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

15 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£277,000

£249k - £304kMedium

Estimate

£277k

Range

£249k – £304k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£900

£800 - £1k

Monthly

£900

Yield

3.60%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Shell Cottage earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 64/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

64/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

60/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

47/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -8.3% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200003246196· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.6%; range width penalty ×0.76
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 900/mo (range 800-1000)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -734/mo, -82% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 40 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
215 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£225,000£345,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£300,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£900/mo

Evidenced range £800-£1,000

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £96,300
Net cash flow: -£389/mo
Cash on cash: -4.9%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.89 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200003246196Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 900/mo (range 800-1000)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 900/mo (range 800-1000)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 40 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£277,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£900

Gross Yield3.60%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+3.9%

5y Growth+3.9%

10y Growth+4.2%

Last Sold Price£53,000 (1998-08-28)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SA73 2NJ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0473/PA
Change of use from office to play cafe and learning centre.
Pending
26/0458/PA
Variation of condition 1 (5 year standard time limit) of planning permission 21/0530/PA (Erection of two dwellings).
Pending
26/0409/DC
Discharge of conditions 3 (parking details) and 4 (Construction Environmental Management Plan) to planning permission 25/0418/PA (Change of use from redundant restaurant and accommodation to 1 flat and 8 bedsits together with extension and alterations).
Pending

View Planning Timeline