12 Arden Road, London, N3 3AN

UPRN:200003951Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt before 1900

Tenure: -Council Tax: Band FEPC: D (63)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 2mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· freshAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,244,000

£1.18M - £1.31MHigh

Estimate

£1.24M

Range

£1.18M – £1.31M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£4,600

£4k - £5k

Monthly

£4,600

Yield

4.80%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

12 Arden Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 84/100. Investment score 74/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is good (80/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

84/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

74/ 100

High

Crime Score

12/ 100

Low

Walkability

80/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 49Bike 64

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +7.6% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200003951· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.8%; range width penalty ×0.77
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4600/mo (range 4100-5100)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,601/mo, -35% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 101 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
188 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£862,500£1,322,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,150,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£4,600/mo

Evidenced range £4,100-£5,100

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £405,050
Net cash flow: -£697/mo
Cash on cash: -2.1%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.19 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200003951Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4600/mo (range 4100-5100)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 4600/mo (range 4100-5100)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 101 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,244,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£4,600

Gross Yield4.80%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.9%

5y Growth-0.5%

10y Growth+0.6%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

2N3 3AN

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

TPP/0697/26
1 x Holly (applicants ref. T519) - Fell to ground level. Standing in T3 of Tree Preservation Order. (exempt) 1 x Lime (applicants ref. T520) - Fell to ground level. Standing in T2 of Tree Preservation Order. (exempt) 2 x Sycamore (applicants ref. T550) - Fell to ground level. Standing in G9 of Tree Preservation Order. 1 x Sycamore (applicants ref. T545) - Fell to ground level. Standing in G8 of Tree Preservation Order.
Pending
26/3961/192
Use of a (Class C3a) dwelling as a children's home for up to three children, with three carers on site at any given time (three overnight) working on a rota basis, and a manager who visits on weekdays (C2)
Pending
26/3959/192
Single storey rear extension with 2no. rooflights following the demolition of existing conservatory
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership48.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease Type-
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

17 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£39,239

Population Density7,402 /km²

Owner Occupied67%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 63%65+ 18%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Chalgrove Primary School
0.3 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Finchley and Acton Yochien School
0.3 mi
Good
Pardes House Primary School
0.4 mi
Report card2025
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Pardes House Grammar School
0.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

4 of 9 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

40 Arden Road
-
£1.28M
-
34 Arden Road
-
£1.57M
-
26 Arden Road
-
£400k
-
18 Arden Road
-
£3.40M
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN