15 Holmwood Gardens, London, N3 3NS

UPRN:200066244Semi-Detached House5 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band GEPC: D (57)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,303,000

£1.24M - £1.37MHigh

Estimate

£1.30M

Range

£1.24M – £1.37M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£4,800

£4k - £5k

Monthly

£4,800

Yield

3.97%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 Holmwood Gardens earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 84/100. Investment score 70/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is good (83/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

84/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

70/ 100

High

Crime Score

12/ 100

Low

Walkability

83/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 61Bike 65

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -11.3% (HIGH)] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200066244· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.0%; range width penalty ×0.76
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4800/mo (range 4300-5350)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -2,719/mo, -57% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 37 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
188 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£1,087,500£1,667,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,450,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£4,800/mo

Evidenced range £4,300-£5,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £525,050
Net cash flow: -£1,571/mo
Cash on cash: -3.6%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.98 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200066244Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4800/mo (range 4300-5350)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 4800/mo (range 4300-5350)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 37 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,303,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£4,800

Gross Yield3.97%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.9%

5y Growth-0.5%

10y Growth+0.6%

Last Sold Price£249,000 (1999-07-01)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1N3 3NS

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/3931/FUL
Conversion of the existing dwelling into 3no. self-contained flats including single storey side and rear extensions, first floor side extension following demolition of existing side extension. Replacement of the existing rear dormer window to the rear main roof and additional roof addition to the outrigger and 1no. rooflight to the front and 1no. rooflight to rear main roof. Associated refuse/recycling to front and cycle storage to rear
Pending
TCP/0678/26
1 x Cherry (applicants ref. T1) - Reduce crown height and lateral spread by up to 2 metres. 1 x Mulberry (applicants ref. T2) - Reduce crown height and lateral spread by up to 3 metres. Row of Viburnum and Lilac (applicants ref. G1) - Reduce height by approximately 2 metres and trim back from property and road. (Exempt works)
Pending
TPP/0670/26
1 x Evergreen Oak (applicants ref. T639) - Lift crown to 3m above ground level and 2m above adjacent wall. Reduce spread on building side to give 1m clearance. Standing in Area A1 of Tree Preservation Order.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership48.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change1999-07-01
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

16 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£39,239

Population Density7,402 /km²

Owner Occupied67%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 63%65+ 18%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Akiva School
0.2 mi
Good
St Theresa's Catholic Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
Pardes House Grammar School
0.3 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Pardes House Primary School
0.3 mi
Report card2025
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

4 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

2 Holmwood Gardens
-
£510k
-
26 Holmwood Gardens
-
£1.50M
-
21 Holmwood Gardens
-
£993k
-
20 Holmwood Gardens
-
£1.22M
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN