281 Mays Lane, Barnet, EN5 2LY

UPRN:200080518End Terrace House3 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: D (67)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· freshRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£685,000

£617k - £754kMedium

Estimate

£685k

Range

£617k – £754k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,850

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£2,850

Yield

3.42%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

281 Mays Lane earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 73/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (47/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

73/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

16/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

47/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 28Bike 41

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the advert has 5 bedrooms but the valuation snapshot describes 3 - an extension, conversion or HMO the evidence does not reflect, or a different home. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge-0.6/15
claims [AVM -46.0% (MEDIUM), sold-comps -29.9%, £/sqft -29.9%] → measured edge -0.12pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200080518· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.4%· as of 30 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.4%; range width penalty ×0.81
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2850/mo (range 2600-3150)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -2,254/mo, -79% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 25 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
259 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£750,000£1,150,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,000,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,850/mo

Evidenced range £2,600-£3,150

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £345,050
Net cash flow: -£1,402/mo
Cash on cash: -4.9%
Score at this price: 12

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.84 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200080518Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.4%Valuation edge · as of 30 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2850/mo (range 2600-3150)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2850/mo (range 2600-3150)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 25 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£685,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,850

Gross Yield3.42%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.7%

5y Growth-0.6%

10y Growth+1.6%

Last Sold Price£307,500 (2005-10-14)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0EN5 2LY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/3852/S73
Variation of condition 1 (Approved plans) 5 (Site levels) 6 (Landscaping) 9 (Parking) 10 (Cycle parking) 12 (Refuse) pursuant to planning permision 21/2913/FUL dated 24/11/2021 for `Erection of a two storey dwelling following demolition of the existing side extension. Associated cycle store, refuse and recycling store and parking provision.`
Pending
26/3801/HSE
Single storey front porch extension with pitched roof
Pending
26/3789/HSE
Single storey rear extension with 1no. rooflight
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership55.8%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2005-10-14
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

11 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£39,239

Population Density-

Owner Occupied65%

Age Distribution

0-15 20%16-64 61%65+ 19%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Whitings Hill Primary School
0.3 mi
Outstanding
Underhill School
0.3 mi
Good
The Totteridge Academy
0.6 mi
Report card2025
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Barnet and Southgate College
0.8 mi
-

5 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

255 Mays Lane
-
£610k
-
271 Mays Lane
-
£567k
-
227 Mays Lane
-
£570k
-
265 Mays Lane
-
£550k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN