4 The Spinney, Wembley, HA0 2QS

UPRN:202044016Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

Shared ownershipCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (70)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£382,000

£363k - £401kHigh

Estimate

£382k

Range

£363k – £401k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,950

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,950

Yield

6.69%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

4 The Spinney earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 74/100. Investment score 62/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (50/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is shared ownership. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

74/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

62/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

9/ 100

Low

Walkability

50/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 39Bike 38

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +8.4% (HIGH), sold-comps -4.2%, £/sqft -4.0%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 202044016· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 9 comps, dispersion 19.5%· as of 1 Nov 2026
Rental economics12/40
gross yield 6.7%; range width penalty ×0.89
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1800-2100)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -270/mo, -14% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 42 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
218 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£262,500£402,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£350,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,950/mo

Evidenced range £1,800-£2,100

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £113,800
Net cash flow: £169/mo
Cash on cash: 1.8%
Score at this price: 27

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.65 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 202044016Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 9 comps, dispersion 19.5%Valuation edge · as of 1 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1800-2100)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1950/mo (range 1800-2100)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 42 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£382,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,950

Gross Yield6.69%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.6%

5y Growth+0.9%

10y Growth+1.6%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0HA0 2QS

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/2720
Demolition of rear outbuilding and conversion of 2x self-contained flats into 3x self-contained flats, single storey side extension, first floor side to rear extension, rear dormer extension, 4x front rooflights and 1x rear rooflight, replacement of 1x window to rear elevation, removal of 1x chimney stack, internal reconfiguration, refuse storage to front and cycle storage to rear, creation of 1x vehicle parking space to the front forecourt, addition of side access gate and associated landscaping to front and rear.
Pending
26/2597
Demolition of existing rear extension and erection of single storey rear extension with raised patio and patio steps, installation of brick wall and privacy panels to the patio sides and conversion of existing garage into habitable room with replacement of garage door with window to the front elevation of the dwellinghouse.
Pending
26/2556
Proposed front porch extension and installation of external wall insulation with render to dwellinghouse.
Pending

View Planning Timeline