18B Spezia Road, London, NW10 4QJ

UPRN:202044028Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

Shared ownershipCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (79)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£603,000

£573k - £634kHigh

Estimate

£603k

Range

£573k – £634k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,700

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,700

Yield

5.23%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

18B Spezia Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 77/100. Investment score 70/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is excellent (90/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is shared ownership. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

77/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

70/ 100

High

Crime Score

36/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

90/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 66Bike 75

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -2.8% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 202044028· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics1.6/40
gross yield 5.2%; range width penalty ×0.87
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2700/mo (range 2450-2900)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -761/mo, -28% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 53 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
474 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£465,000£713,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£620,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,700/mo

Evidenced range £2,450-£2,900

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £208,300
Net cash flow: -£223/mo
Cash on cash: -1.3%
Score at this price: 16

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.29 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 202044028Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2700/mo (range 2450-2900)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2700/mo (range 2450-2900)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£603,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,700

Gross Yield5.23%

1y Growth-31.4%

3y Growth-5.8%

5y Growth+0.0%

10y Growth+1.1%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NW10 4QJ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/2710
Demolition of existing side extension and shed and erection of replacement single-storey side extension, alteration to side fenestration, removal of door to front porch and the rebuilding of the side boundary wall to dwellinghouse
Pending
26/2686
Removal of the existing rear dormer and rooflights and proposed rear dormer extension, dormer extension to the rear outrigger with 1x rooflight to the flat roof of dormer, and installation of 2x front rooflights to first-floor flat
Pending
26/2676
Proposed replacement of rear doors to the flats.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership57.8%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeShared ownership
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

16 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£34,871

Population Density10,920 /km²

Owner Occupied38%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 70%65+ 11%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Furness Primary School
0.1 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Newman Catholic College
0.2 mi
Good
Roundwood School and Community Centre
0.2 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
John Keble CofE Primary School
0.3 mi
Good

2 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

15 Spezia Road
-
£710k
-
20 Spezia Road
-
£1.60M
-
2 Spezia Road
-
£1.24M
-
7A Spezia Road
-
£575k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN