3 Pavilion Court, 2 Stafford Road, London, NW6 5YX

UPRN:202137724Purpose Built Flat1 bedsBuilt 2007-2011

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: B (82)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

3 Pavilion Court, 2 Stafford Road, London, NW6 5YX

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£448,000

£404k - £493kMedium

Estimate

£448k

Range

£404k – £493k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,550

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,550

Yield

4.96%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

3 Pavilion Court earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 78/100. Investment score 70/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is excellent (92/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

78/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

70/ 100

High

Crime Score

30/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

92/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 76Bike 70

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 30 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 16% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +16.3% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 202137724· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 5.0%; range width penalty ×0.81; the estimate this rent rides on sits 16% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1550/mo (range 1400-1700)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 16% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -726/mo, -47% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 85 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 30 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
457 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£281,000£431,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£375,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,550/mo

Evidenced range £1,400-£1,700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £122,550
Net cash flow: -£193/mo
Cash on cash: -1.9%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.22 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 202137724Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1550/mo (range 1400-1700)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 16% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 30 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1550/mo (range 1400-1700)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 16% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£448,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,550

Gross Yield4.96%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.1%

5y Growth-0.8%

10y Growth+0.0%

Last Sold Price£405,000 (2017-02-24)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NW6 5YX

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/2769
T1. Sycamore (Acer psuedoplatanus) Rear garden Large mature tree dominating rear garden and overhanging adjacent gardens. Snapped branches throughout canopy, and squirrel damage on new growth. Previously reduced 4 years ago. Reduce canopy to previous points of reduction (3m in height and 2m in lateral spread) to maintain cyclical pruning and improve light into surrounding areas.
Pending
26/07365/TCA
T1 -Paulownia reduce laterals by 1m from tips and height by .5m to give more light to garden area below.
Pending
26/07363/FULL
Demolition of existing rear/side extension and construction of a new extension together with new glazing and doors, and changing the existing rooflights to the rear roof slope with new rooflights.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership57.8%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining106 yrs
CovenantsNone
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2017-02-24
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

16 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£34,871

Population Density-

Owner Occupied16%

Age Distribution

0-15 23%16-64 70%65+ 7%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

The School of the Islamic Republic of Iran
0.1 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Granville Plus Nursery School
0.1 mi
Good
The Kilburn Park School Foundation
0.1 mi
Good
Carlton Vale Infant School
0.1 mi
Good

0 of 8 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Pavilion Court, 2 Stafford Road
-
£485k
-
Pavilion Court, 2 Stafford Road
-
£395k
-
Pavilion Court, 2 Stafford Road
-
£392k
-
Pavilion Court, 2 Stafford Road
-
£390k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN