157 Ellerburn Avenue, Hull, HU6 9RH

UPRN:21033823Semi-Detached House2 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band AEPC: D (64)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 2mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 5mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£111,000

£100k - £122kMedium

Estimate

£111k

Range

£100k – £122k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£700

£650 - £700

Monthly

£700

Yield

7.18%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

157 Ellerburn Avenue earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 60/100. Investment score 55/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is good (71/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

60/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

55/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

57/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

71/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 19Bike 82

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -5.4% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 21033823· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics14.2/40
gross yield 6.8% on contractual rent (listing-disclosed tenancy)
- listing_factscontractual rent 660/mo (tenanted)· as of 4 Nov 2026
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -138/mo, -21% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 71 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
239 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£88,000£134,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£117,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£700/mo

Evidenced range £650-£700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £36,400
Net cash flow: £90/mo
Cash on cash: 3.0%
Score at this price: 27

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.77 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 21033823Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
listing_factscontractual rent 660/mo (tenanted)Rental economics · as of 4 Nov 2026
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 71 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →flood, subsidence, crime, environment - the full domain

Plan

Before you offer

1. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£111,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£700

Gross Yield7.18%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+4.5%

5y Growth+4.4%

10y Growth+3.8%

Last Sold Price£67,000 (2015-06-29)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0HU6 9RH

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/00996/PD
Erection of a shed
Pending
26/00695/FULL
Erection of 9 dwellings, an office and alteration of a means of vehicular access
Pending
26/00561/PAAP
Installation of solar panels (Application for prior approval Class J)
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership90%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2015-06-29
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

12 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£27,309

Population Density-

Owner Occupied15%

Age Distribution

0-15 30%16-64 61%65+ 9%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Thorpepark Academy
0.3 mi
Good
The Parks Primary Academy
0.4 mi
OutstandingImproving
St Anthony's Voluntary Catholic Academy
0.5 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Lift Green Way
0.6 mi
-

3 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

179 Ellerburn Avenue
-
£122k
-
171 Ellerburn Avenue
-
£110k
-
183 Ellerburn Avenue
-
£85k
-
177 Ellerburn Avenue
-
£80k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN