20 Sefton Road, Middleton, Manchester, M24 4AB

UPRN:23007141Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (75)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

20 Sefton Road, Middleton, Manchester, M24 4AB

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£279,000

£265k - £293kHigh

Estimate

£279k

Range

£265k – £293k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,800

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,800

Yield

7.71%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

20 Sefton Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 73/100. Investment score 58/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Walkability is good (75/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021HM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

73/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

58/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

No data

Walkability

75/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 43Bike 47

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.4% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 23007141· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics21.2/40
gross yield 7.7%; range width penalty ×0.98
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1800/mo (range 1700-1900)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0.7/30
stressed cash flow +12/mo, +1% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 120 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
500 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 70+ up to £210,000

£210,000£322,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£280,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,800/mo

Evidenced range £1,700-£1,900

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £89,300
Net cash flow: £301/mo
Cash on cash: 4.0%
Score at this price: 36

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.90 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 23007141Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1800/mo (range 1700-1900)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1800/mo (range 1700-1900)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 120 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £210,000 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£279,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,800

Gross Yield7.71%

1y Growth-25.7%

3y Growth+3.2%

5y Growth+3.6%

10y Growth+5.9%

Last Sold Price£137,000 (2004-01-22)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0M24 4AB

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

OTH/2026/0980
Submission of details to comply with conditions 8 (Hard and Soft Landscaping Scheme) and 9 (Landscaping and Ecological Management Plan) of planning permission 23/00331/FUL
Pending
PL/2026/0655
Change of use from office accommodation (Class E) to 5 no. self-contained apartments (Class C3), the addition of a bin store and cycle storage and alterations to fenestration on the rear and side elevations
Pending
PL/2026/0906
Application for a certificate of lawfulness for the proposed use as as a children's nursery (Class E(f)
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership54.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2004-01-22
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

16 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£29,535

Population Density1,020 /km²

Owner Occupied60%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 60%65+ 24%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Elizabeth House School
0.0 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Sunny Brow Nursery School
0.0 mi
-
Parkfield Primary School
0.1 mi
Good
St Mary's Roman Catholic Primary School, Middleton
0.4 mi
GoodConcerns

5 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

4 Sefton Road
-
£273k
-
26 Sefton Road
-
£337k
-
Archer Cottage Sefton Road
-
£439k
-
10 Sefton Road
-
£294k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN