15 Tenbury Drive, Middleton, Manchester, M24 1ST

UPRN:23015198Detached House3 bedsBuilt 2003-2006

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (79)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

15 Tenbury Drive, Middleton, Manchester, M24 1ST

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£410,000

£369k - £451kMedium

Estimate

£410k

Range

£369k – £451k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,800

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,800

Yield

5.08%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 Tenbury Drive earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 75/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Walkability is limited (65/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021HM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

75/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

No data

Walkability

65/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 29Bike 33

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -3.7% (MEDIUM), sold-comps -5.2%, £/sqft -5.2%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 23015198· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 18.5%· as of 22 Oct 2026
Rental economics0.6/40
gross yield 5.1%; range width penalty ×0.87
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1800/mo (range 1650-1950)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -600/mo, -33% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 66 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
500 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£319,000£488,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£425,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,800/mo

Evidenced range £1,650-£1,950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £140,050
Net cash flow: -£188/mo
Cash on cash: -1.6%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.25 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 23015198Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 18.5%Valuation edge · as of 22 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1800/mo (range 1650-1950)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1800/mo (range 1650-1950)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 66 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£410,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,800

Gross Yield5.08%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+3.2%

5y Growth+3.6%

10y Growth+5.9%

Last Sold Price£195,000 (2007-12-07)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0M24 1ST

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PL/2026/0972
Erection of rear conservatory over existing raised patio area and installation of steps leading to garden
Pending
PLA-2026-001660
Erection of part-single / part-two storey side and rear extension together with a hip-to-gable roof conversion, rear dormer, and rear access ramp.
Pending
PL/2026/0924
Application for a Certificate of Lawfulness for a proposed garden annexe 20m x 6.8m ancillary to main dwelling
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership54.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2007-12-07
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

15 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£29,535

Population Density-

Owner Occupied90%

Age Distribution

0-15 18%16-64 58%65+ 24%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Michael's Church of England Primary School, Alkrington
0.0 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
St Thomas More Roman Catholic Primary School, Middleton, Rochdale
0.1 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Crosslee Community Primary School
0.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Alkrington Primary School
0.4 mi
Good

4 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

1 Tenbury Drive
-
£425k
-
7 Tenbury Drive
-
£340k
-
12 Tenbury Drive
-
£286k
-
14 Tenbury Drive
-
£245k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN