Box Cottage, Waters Lane, Bristol, BS9 4AA

UPRN:23056Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (74)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

Box Cottage, Waters Lane, Bristol, BS9 4AA

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£504,000

£454k - £555kMedium

Estimate

£504k

Range

£454k – £555k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,900

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,900

Yield

3.97%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Box Cottage earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 79/100. Investment score 65/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is excellent (95/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

79/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

65/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

34/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

95/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 28Bike 62

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-0.6/15
claims [AVM -14.1% (MEDIUM), sold-comps -38.9%, £/sqft -39.0%] → measured edge -0.12pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 23056· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 11 comps, dispersion 14.7%· as of 27 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.0%; range width penalty ×0.78
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1900/mo (range 1700-2100)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,159/mo, -61% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 37 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
334 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£431,000£661,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£575,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,900/mo

Evidenced range £1,700-£2,100

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £192,550
Net cash flow: -£625/mo
Cash on cash: -3.9%
Score at this price: 12

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.98 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 23056Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 11 comps, dispersion 14.7%Valuation edge · as of 27 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1900/mo (range 1700-2100)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1900/mo (range 1700-2100)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 37 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£504,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,900

Gross Yield3.97%

1y Growth+108.2%

3y Growth+0.2%

5y Growth+1.4%

10y Growth+2.6%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0BS9 4AA

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/13668/VC
T4384 - Sycamore - Crown reduce by 2-3m. T4387 - Sycamore - Crown reduce 2 limbs with cavities extending towards building by 2m. T4453 - Ash - Crown reduce by 2-3m over neighbour property. T4456 - Silver Birch - Fell. T4473 - Crown reduce long lateral limbs by 1-2m. T4485 - Sycamore - Crown reduce by 2-3m.
Pending
26/13694/VD
5 Day Notice: Cypress x 1 (dead) - Fell (TPO 340)
Conditions
26/13645/HX
Notification of Prior Approval for the erection of a single storey rear extension that would exceed beyond the rear wall of the original house by 3.6 metres, have a maximum height of 3.5 metres and have eaves that are 2.5 metres high.
Pending

View Planning Timeline