4 Ivy Lodge, Westbury Hill, Bristol, BS9 3AT

UPRN:23301Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 1976-1982

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: D (67)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

4 Ivy Lodge, Westbury Hill, Bristol, BS9 3AT

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£279,000

£265k - £293kHigh

Estimate

£279k

Range

£265k – £293k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,250

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,250

Yield

5.45%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

4 Ivy Lodge earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 78/100. Investment score 62/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is excellent (95/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

78/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

62/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

34/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

95/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 24Bike 63

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +1.4% (HIGH), sold-comps -10.0%, £/sqft -9.9%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 23301· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 18.6%· as of 25 Oct 2026
Rental economics3.2/40
gross yield 5.5%; range width penalty ×0.88
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1150-1350)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -489/mo, -39% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 47 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
334 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£206,000£316,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£275,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,250/mo

Evidenced range £1,150-£1,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £87,550
Net cash flow: -£63/mo
Cash on cash: -0.9%
Score at this price: 18

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.35 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 23301Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 18.6%Valuation edge · as of 25 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1150-1350)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1250/mo (range 1150-1350)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 47 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£279,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,250

Gross Yield5.45%

1y Growth-11.6%

3y Growth+0.2%

5y Growth+1.4%

10y Growth+2.6%

Last Sold Price£169,000 (2004-12-06)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0BS9 3AT

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/13668/VC
T4384 - Sycamore - Crown reduce by 2-3m. T4387 - Sycamore - Crown reduce 2 limbs with cavities extending towards building by 2m. T4453 - Ash - Crown reduce by 2-3m over neighbour property. T4456 - Silver Birch - Fell. T4473 - Crown reduce long lateral limbs by 1-2m. T4485 - Sycamore - Crown reduce by 2-3m.
Pending
26/13694/VD
5 Day Notice: Cypress x 1 (dead) - Fell (TPO 340)
Conditions
26/13645/HX
Notification of Prior Approval for the erection of a single storey rear extension that would exceed beyond the rear wall of the original house by 3.6 metres, have a maximum height of 3.5 metres and have eaves that are 2.5 metres high.
Pending

View Planning Timeline