25 Carral Close, Lincoln, LN5 9BD

UPRN:235012958Detached Bungalow3 bedsBuilt 1976-1982

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: C (71)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 3mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£250,000

£238k - £263kHigh

Estimate

£250k

Range

£238k – £263k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,100

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,100

Yield

5.08%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

25 Carral Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 78/100. Investment score 67/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (48/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

78/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

67/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

6/ 100

Low

Walkability

48/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 17Bike 39

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -4.0% (HIGH), sold-comps -46.1%, £/sqft -45.8%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 235012958· as of 10 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 10 comps, dispersion 12%· as of 28 Sept 2026
Rental economics0.5/40
gross yield 5.1%; range width penalty ×0.84
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1100/mo (range 1000-1200)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -418/mo, -38% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 76 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
423 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£195,000£299,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£260,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,100/mo

Evidenced range £1,000-£1,200

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £82,300
Net cash flow: -£116/mo
Cash on cash: -1.7%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.25 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 235012958Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 10 comps, dispersion 12%Valuation edge · as of 28 Sept 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1100/mo (range 1000-1200)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1100/mo (range 1000-1200)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 76 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£250,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,100

Gross Yield5.08%

1y Growth+2.8%

3y Growth-0.3%

5y Growth-0.5%

10y Growth+2.6%

Last Sold Price£250,000 (2024-01-19)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1LN5 9BD

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2026/0620/HOU
Erection of a single storey rear extension.
Pending
26/1158/DISCON
Application to discharge condition 3 (boundary treatment (JV_175_12 A)), condition 5 (energy verification), condition 7 (construction management plan (CMP) & method statement), Condition 8 (BNG plan), condition 9 (bat emergence survey (2026)), condition 10 (ecological mitigation and enhancement plan), condition 11 (habitat management and monitoring plan), condition 13 (landscape plans (577-79_FP_PP01 C, 577-79_FP_PP02 A, 577-79_FP_PP03 C)), condition 14 (FPCR arboricultural method statement), condition 17 (proposed play area POS Plan (JV_175_11)), condition 19 (written scheme of investigation - archaeological evaluation trenching), condition 23 (proposed road phasing plan (JV_175_10)), condition 27 (contamination/verification) attached to planning permission 24/1475/FUL - Demolition of 352 Brant Road and construction of 51no. affordable residential dwellings.
Pending
26/1161/PNMAT
Application for a non material amendment (Change proposal through an addendum to the energy statement, changing roof tiles and amend condition 22) following grant of planning permission 24/1475/FUL - Demolition of 352 Brant Road and construction of 51no. affordable residential dwellings
Approved

View Planning Timeline