15 Church Lane, Lincoln, LN2 1QW

UPRN:235031216Terrace Property2 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (73)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£219,000

£208k - £230kHigh

Estimate

£219k

Range

£208k – £230k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£850

£800 - £950

Monthly

£850

Yield

4.64%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 Church Lane earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 59/100. Investment score 53/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (0/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

59/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

53/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

27/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

0/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 24Bike 42

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 7 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.5% (HIGH), sold-comps -58.3%, £/sqft -58.8%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 235031216· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 16.1%· as of 22 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.6%; range width penalty ×0.85
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 850/mo (range 800-950)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -433/mo, -51% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 7 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 128 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 7 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
460 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£165,000£253,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£220,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£850/mo

Evidenced range £800-£950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £69,200
Net cash flow: -£154/mo
Cash on cash: -2.7%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.14 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 235031216Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 16.1%Valuation edge · as of 22 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 850/mo (range 800-950)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 7 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 7 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 850/mo (range 800-950)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 128 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£219,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£850

Gross Yield4.64%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+3.0%

5y Growth+0.9%

10y Growth+4.1%

Last Sold Price£190,000 (2021-06-25)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningSignificant
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0LN2 1QW

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2026/0663/FUL
Change of use from commercial antiques centre (use class E) to two self-contained residential properties (use class C3).
Pending
2026/0661/TCO
T1 - Apple: Fell
Pending
2026/0659/PAMA
Determination as to whether prior approval is required for the Change of Use from Offices (Class E) to 6 No. Residential Apartments (Class C3)
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership63%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2021-06-25
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

9 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£29,824

Population Density2,767 /km²

Owner Occupied56%

Age Distribution

0-15 11%16-64 64%65+ 25%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Westgate Academy
0.2 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
The Lincoln St Peter-In-Eastgate Church of England Infants Academy
0.3 mi
Inspected as The Lincoln St Peter-in-Eastgate Church of England (Controlled) Infants School (URN 120560) on 1 Jul 2025
Mount Street Academy
0.4 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Lincoln Minster School
0.4 mi
Inspected by ISI

1 of 6 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

22 Church Lane
-
£230k
-
18 Church Lane
-
£189k
-
23 Church Lane
-
£165k
-
21 Church Lane
-
£175k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN