40 Stapleford Avenue, Lincoln, LN2 2DR

UPRN:235032828-Beds -Built 1950-1966

Tenure: -Council Tax: Band AEPC: D (61)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£167,000

£150k - £184kMedium

Estimate

£167k

Range

£150k – £184k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£650

£600 - £700

Monthly

£650

Yield

5.03%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

40 Stapleford Avenue earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 69/100. Investment score 56/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (64/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

69/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

56/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

27/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

64/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 27Bike 67

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 30 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +7.2% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 235032828· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics0.2/40
gross yield 5.0%; range width penalty ×0.89
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 650/mo (range 600-700)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 30 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -306/mo, -47% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 80 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 30 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
460 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£116,000£178,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£155,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£650/mo

Evidenced range £600-£700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £48,400
Net cash flow: -£73/mo
Cash on cash: -1.8%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.24 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 235032828Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 650/mo (range 600-700)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 30 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 30 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 650/mo (range 600-700)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
listing text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£167,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£650

Gross Yield5.03%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+3.0%

5y Growth+0.9%

10y Growth+4.1%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

2LN2 2DR

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

2026/0651/FUL
Refurbishment of existing flat roof areas, including replacement roof coverings, rooflights, rainwater goods, guardrails, associated plant alterations, and ancillary works.
Pending
2026/0608/RD
Submission of details to discharge condition 4 (Written Scheme of Investigation) of planning permission 2024/0687/FUL.
Pending
2026/0605/NMA
Non-Material Amendment to planning permission 2025/0748/FUL to amend the approved teaching block, including revisions to roof turrets, replacement of the walkway balustrade with a clad parapet, and reduction in the width of the entrance canopy
Conditions

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership63%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease Type-
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

2 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£29,824

Population Density5,416 /km²

Owner Occupied46%

Age Distribution

0-15 22%16-64 63%65+ 15%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

The St Francis Special School, Lincoln
0.2 mi
Outstanding
Lincoln Castle Academy
0.3 mi
Inspected as Lincoln Castle Academy (URN 136537) on 5 Jul 2022
Ermine Primary Academy
0.3 mi
Good
Lincoln Bishop University
0.5 mi
-

2 of 7 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

23 Stapleford Avenue
-
£180k
-
10 Stapleford Avenue
-
£183k
-
32 Stapleford Avenue
-
£147k
-
22 Stapleford Avenue
-
£110k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN