3 Bargate Lodge, Bargate, Lincoln, LN5 8BY

UPRN:235064498Terrace Property2 bedsBuilt 2014

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band AEPC: B (81)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

3 Bargate Lodge, Bargate, Lincoln, LN5 8BY

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£156,000

£148k - £164kHigh

Estimate

£156k

Range

£148k – £164k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£600

£550 - £650

Monthly

£600

Yield

4.50%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

3 Bargate Lodge earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 60/100. Investment score 65/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is limited (68/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

60/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

65/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

83/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

68/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 21Bike 66

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -2.6% (HIGH), sold-comps -8.8%, £/sqft -8.8%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 235064498· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.8%· as of 4 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.5%; range width penalty ×0.87
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 600/mo (range 550-650)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -364/mo, -61% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 28 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
423 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£120,000£184,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£160,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£600/mo

Evidenced range £550-£650

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £50,000
Net cash flow: -£125/mo
Cash on cash: -3.0%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.11 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 235064498Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.8%Valuation edge · as of 4 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 600/mo (range 550-650)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 600/mo (range 550-650)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 28 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£156,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£600

Gross Yield4.50%

1y Growth+12.9%

3y Growth-0.3%

5y Growth-0.5%

10y Growth+2.6%

Last Sold Price£140,000 (2024-02-16)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0LN5 8BY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2026/0666/HOU
Removal of brick pillar to widen driveway access.
Pending
2026/0657/CLE
Continued use of property as a House in Multiple Occupation (Class C4). (Application for Certificate of Lawfulness).
Pending
2026/0655/RD
Submission of details to discharge conditions 3 (noise impact assessment), 4 (external materials), 5 (foundation design), 6 and 7 (archaeology) of planning permission 2026/0272/FUL.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership73.5%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2024-02-16
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

7 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£29,824

Population Density10,571 /km²

Owner Occupied34%

Age Distribution

0-15 12%16-64 78%65+ 10%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

The Lincoln St Peter at Gowts Church of England Primary School
0.4 mi
OutstandingImproving
Athena School
0.4 mi
-
Sir Francis Hill Community Primary School
0.5 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
The Priory Academy LSST
0.5 mi
Good

2 of 9 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Bargate Lodge Bargate
-
£145k
-
Bargate Lodge Bargate
-
£140k
-
Bargate Lodge Bargate
-
£106k
-
Bargate Lodge Bargate
-
£103k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN