21 Walton Crescent, Winford, Bristol, BS40 8DD

UPRN:24102447Detached House4 bedsBuilt 2003-2006

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: A (92)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 3mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

21 Walton Crescent, Winford, Bristol, BS40 8DD

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£690,000

£655k - £724kHigh

Estimate

£690k

Range

£655k – £724k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,300

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,300

Yield

4.25%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

21 Walton Crescent earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 63/100. Investment score 57/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (6/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

63/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

57/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

18/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

6/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 6Bike 17

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +5.8% (HIGH), sold-comps -8.9%, £/sqft -8.9%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 24102447· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 8 comps, dispersion 24.6%· as of 31 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.2%; range width penalty ×0.77
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2300/mo (range 2050-2550)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,182/mo, -51% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 28 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
118 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£487,500£747,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£650,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,300/mo

Evidenced range £2,050-£2,550

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £218,800
Net cash flow: -£601/mo
Cash on cash: -3.3%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.05 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 24102447Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 8 comps, dispersion 24.6%Valuation edge · as of 31 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2300/mo (range 2050-2550)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2300/mo (range 2050-2550)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 28 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£690,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,300

Gross Yield4.25%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-2.7%

5y Growth+0.5%

10y Growth+2.1%

Last Sold Price£460,000 (2016-08-05)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningModerate
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1BS40 8DD

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

26/P/1806/LDE
Certificate of lawfulness for existing use in relation to an extant planning approval 14/P/1079/CUPA (The change of use from agricultural buildings to three dwellings within Use Class C3 plus associated operational development) at Green Way Farm to confirm that works commenced prior to the expiry date
Approved
26/P/1405/FUH
Proposed erection of a single storey rear extension, front porch extension and expansion of existing front dormer.
Approved
26/P/1008/TPO
TPO 701 (T29) Cherry - 1.5m crown reduction
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership76.2%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2016-08-05
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

15 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£32,996

Population Density-

Owner Occupied87%

Age Distribution

0-15 17%16-64 61%65+ 22%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Winford Church of England Primary School
0.4 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Dundry Church of England Primary School
1.5 mi
Good
Four Acres Academy
2.2 mi
Good
Belgrave School
2.2 mi
Inspected by ISI

4 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

1 Walton Crescent
-
£430k
-
15 Walton Crescent
-
£681k
-
25 Walton Crescent
-
£520k
-
3 Walton Crescent
-
£449k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN