4 Goathland Croft, Emerson Valley, Milton Keynes, MK4 2EN

UPRN:25017294Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: -

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

4 Goathland Croft, Emerson Valley, Milton Keynes, MK4 2EN

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£346,000

£329k - £364kHigh

Estimate

£346k

Range

£329k – £364k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,600

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,600

Yield

4.80%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

4 Goathland Croft earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 76/100. Investment score 61/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (67/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

76/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

61/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

18/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

67/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 20Bike 58

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 28 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -15.6% (HIGH)] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 25017294· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.8%; range width penalty ×0.89
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1450-1700)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -642/mo, -40% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 28 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 56 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 28 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
205 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£300,000£460,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£400,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,600/mo

Evidenced range £1,450-£1,700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £131,300
Net cash flow: -£242/mo
Cash on cash: -2.2%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.19 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 25017294Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1450-1700)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 28 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 28 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1600/mo (range 1450-1700)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 56 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£346,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,600

Gross Yield4.80%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.7%

5y Growth+2.1%

10y Growth+2.7%

Last Sold Price£195,000 (2008-04-18)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0MK4 2EN

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PLN/2026/1991
Proposed single storey front porch extension, first floor extension over existing garage and garage conversion to form an annexe
Pending
PLN/2026/1978
Erection of first floor front extension above existing structure, relocation of front door, alterations to existing windows and new window to front elevation, erection of single storey rear and side extensions and new window to existing side elevation
Pending
PLN/2026/1772
Certificate of lawfulness for the proposed removal of single garage doors and installation of double garage doors
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership74.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2008-04-18
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

18 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£36,061

Population Density4,844 /km²

Owner Occupied49%

Age Distribution

0-15 23%16-64 69%65+ 8%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Emerson Valley School
0.3 mi
Inspected as Emerson Valley School (URN 131190) on 18 Oct 2022
Shenley Brook End School
0.3 mi
Good
Howe Park School
0.4 mi
Good
Merebrook Infant School
0.4 mi
Inspected as Merebrook Infant School (URN 131670) on 12 Oct 2022

4 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

9 Goathland Croft
-
£295k
-
16 Goathland Croft
-
£200k
-
5 Goathland Croft
-
£280k
-
16 Goathland Croft
-
£150k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN