99 Downs Barn Boulevard, Downs Barn, Milton Keynes, MK14 7QB

UPRN:25047237Purpose Built Flat1 bedsBuilt 1976-1982

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band AEPC: C (74)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

99 Downs Barn Boulevard, Downs Barn, Milton Keynes, MK14 7QB

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£146,000

£139k - £153kHigh

Estimate

£146k

Range

£139k – £153k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£900

£850 - £950

Monthly

£900

Yield

8.31%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

99 Downs Barn Boulevard earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 57/100. Investment score 58/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is limited (36/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

57/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

58/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

61/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

36/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 21Bike 54

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +11.0% (HIGH), sold-comps +24.0%, £/sqft +24.1%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 25047237· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 9 comps, dispersion 10.7%· as of 22 Oct 2026
Rental economics33.8/40
gross yield 9.2% on contractual rent (listing-disclosed tenancy)
- listing_factscontractual rent 1000/mo (tenanted)· as of 4 Nov 2026
Stress margin5.7/30
stressed cash flow +57/mo, +6% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 65 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
178 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 70+ up to £114,000

£97,500£149,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£130,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£900/mo

Evidenced range £850-£950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £40,400
Net cash flow: £184/mo
Cash on cash: 5.5%
Score at this price: 57

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.05 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 25047237Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 9 comps, dispersion 10.7%Valuation edge · as of 22 Oct 2026
listing_factscontractual rent 1000/mo (tenanted)Rental economics · as of 4 Nov 2026
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 65 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
2. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £114,000 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£146,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£900

Gross Yield8.31%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.7%

5y Growth+2.3%

10y Growth+2.6%

Last Sold Price£32,000 (2002-10-25)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0MK14 7QB

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PLN/2026/2101
Proposed single storey rear and side extensions including demolition of existing masonry walls and conservatory
Pending
PLN/2026/1931
Proposed change of use from C3 dwelling to 7 bedroom HMO with two storey front and single storey rear extension
Pending
PLN/2026/1928
Change of use from Dwelling (C3) to Children's Care Home (C2) for up to 2 Children aged between 6 and 17
Pending

View Planning Timeline