Black Horse Cottage, 4 Cranfield Road, Wavendon, Milton Keynes, MK17 8AW

UPRN:25089408Detached HouseBeds -Built before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: F (37)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 6mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

Black Horse Cottage, 4 Cranfield Road, Wavendon, Milton Keynes, MK17 8AW

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,027,000

£924k - £1.13MMedium

Estimate

£1.03M

Range

£924k – £1.13M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,400

£3k - £4k

Monthly

£3,400

Yield

2.72%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Black Horse Cottage earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 41/100. Investment score 45/100 reflects below-average fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is limited (4/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

41/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

45/ 100

Mixed

Crime Score

90/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

4/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 5Bike 45

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 31 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-0.6/15
claims [AVM -46.1% (MEDIUM), sold-comps -73.8%, £/sqft -73.9%] → measured edge -0.12pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 25089408· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 11.6%· as of 23 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 2.7%; range width penalty ×0.67
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3400/mo (range 2950-3850)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -3,959/mo, -116% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 31 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 128 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 31 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
280 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£1,125,000£1,725,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,500,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,400/mo

Evidenced range £2,950-£3,850

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £545,050
Net cash flow: -£2,709/mo
Cash on cash: -6.0%
Score at this price: 12

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.67 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 25089408Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 11.6%Valuation edge · as of 23 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3400/mo (range 2950-3850)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 31 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 31 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3400/mo (range 2950-3850)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 128 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,027,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,400

Gross Yield2.72%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-2.1%

5y Growth+1.5%

10y Growth+1.9%

Last Sold Price£590,000 (2007-07-20)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1MK17 8AW

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PLN/2026/2211
The felling of Hawthorn (T1) protected by Milton Keynes Council Tree Preservation Order no. PS/540/15/6 and the reduction in height of multi-stemmed Yew tree (T2) by 4m, the reduction of west facing lowest limb by 3m of Ash (T3) and the crown lift to approx 2.5m to 3m of 3 Oak trees (G1) protected by Milton Keynes Council Tree Preservation Order no. PS/540/15/47
Pending
CB/26/03271/DOC
Discharge of Conditions 7 and 9 against planning permission ref: CB/25/02625/FULL
Pending
PLN/2026/2203
Certificate of Lawfulness for the proposed loft conversion with rear dormer and front rooflights
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership74.5%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2007-07-20
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

9 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£36,061

Population Density373 /km²

Owner Occupied74%

Age Distribution

0-15 23%16-64 69%65+ 8%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Mary's Wavendon CofE Primary
0.2 mi
Inspected as St Mary's Wavendon CofE Primary (URN 110439) on 18 Jun 2024
Glebe Farm School
0.8 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Swallowfield Primary
1.0 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Fulbrook School
1.2 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

2 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

12 Cranfield Road
-
£195k
-
10 Cranfield Road
-
£175k
-
2 Cranfield Road
-
£1.20M
-
12 Cranfield Road
-
£168k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN