12 Kilwinning Drive, Monkston, Milton Keynes, MK10 9DZ

UPRN:25094428Detached House5 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: C (70)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

12 Kilwinning Drive, Monkston, Milton Keynes, MK10 9DZ

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£791,000

£752k - £831kHigh

Estimate

£791k

Range

£752k – £831k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,650

£3k - £4k

Monthly

£3,650

Yield

5.47%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

12 Kilwinning Drive earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 73/100. Investment score 77/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is limited (52/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

73/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

77/ 100

High

Crime Score

38/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

52/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 10Bike 62

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -1.1% (HIGH), sold-comps -20.7%, £/sqft -20.6%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 25094428· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 13.1%· as of 24 Oct 2026
Rental economics3.3/40
gross yield 5.5%; range width penalty ×0.87
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3650/mo (range 3350-3950)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -822/mo, -23% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 410 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
200 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£600,000£920,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£800,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,650/mo

Evidenced range £3,350-£3,950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £271,300
Net cash flow: -£173/mo
Cash on cash: -0.8%
Score at this price: 18

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.35 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 25094428Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 13.1%Valuation edge · as of 24 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3650/mo (range 3350-3950)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3650/mo (range 3350-3950)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 410 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£791,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,650

Gross Yield5.47%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.7%

5y Growth-0.1%

10y Growth+2.6%

Last Sold Price£425,000 (2014-02-20)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0MK10 9DZ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PLN/2026/2191
Proposed demolition of conservatory, erection of a two-storey side extension and alterations to openings on front, side and rear elevations
Pending
PLN/2026/2070
Erection of a front porch extension and a rear single storey extension.
Pending
PLN/2026/2005
Approval of details required by conditions 5 (ground condition assessment), 6 (bird and bat boxes/bricks), 7 (external lighting strategy), 9 (bin storage) and 10 (surface water drainage scheme) of permission ref. PLN/2025/2550
Pending

View Planning Timeline