Bog House, Bog House Farm, Matfen, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE20 0RF

UPRN:2920006449Detached BungalowBeds -Built 1996-2002

Tenure: -Council Tax: -EPC: D (55)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Bog House, Bog House Farm, Matfen, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE20 0RF

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

12 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,492,000

£1.42M - £1.57MHigh

Estimate

£1.49M

Range

£1.42M – £1.57M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£6,350

£6k - £7k

Monthly

£6,350

Yield

5.08%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Bog House earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 55/100. Investment score 54/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (0/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

55/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

54/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

6/ 100

Low

Walkability

0/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 14Bike 14

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.5% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 2920006449· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0.5/40
gross yield 5.1%; range width penalty ×0.82
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 6350/mo (range 5750-6950)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,791/mo, -28% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 107 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
158 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£1,125,000£1,725,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,500,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£6,350/mo

Evidenced range £5,750-£6,950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £545,050
Net cash flow: -£666/mo
Cash on cash: -1.5%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.25 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 2920006449Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 6350/mo (range 5750-6950)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 6350/mo (range 5750-6950)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 107 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.