East Lynedale, Ulgham, Morpeth, NE61 3AW

UPRN:2920007707Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt before 1900

Tenure: -Council Tax: Band DEPC: C (69)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

East Lynedale, Ulgham, Morpeth, NE61 3AW

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£394,000

£355k - £434kMedium

Estimate

£394k

Range

£355k – £434k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,250

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,250

Yield

6.84%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

East Lynedale earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 57/100. Investment score 59/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (0/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

57/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

59/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

19/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

0/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 7Bike 20

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 30 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.3% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 2920007707· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics13.7/40
gross yield 6.8%; range width penalty ×0.93
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2250/mo (range 2100-2400)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -143/mo, -6% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 499 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 30 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
495 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£296,000£454,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£395,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,250/mo

Evidenced range £2,100-£2,400

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £129,550
Net cash flow: £225/mo
Cash on cash: 2.1%
Score at this price: 26

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.69 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 2920007707Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2250/mo (range 2100-2400)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 30 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2250/mo (range 2100-2400)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 499 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£394,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,250

Gross Yield6.84%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+3.7%

5y Growth+3.0%

10y Growth+2.4%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NE61 3AW

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/03648/DISCON
Discharge of condition 3 (render) on approved application 25/03414/FUL
Approved
26/03573/VARYCO
Variation of conditions 4 (closure dates) and 5 (maximum permitted stay for visitors) on approved application 25/01191/FUL to allow variation to closure dates and presence of site warden during closure period
Pending
26/03135/PRUTPO
Tree Preservation Order Application: T25 (Lime) - crown reduce from 18m to 14m, remove deadwood and reshape.
Pending

View Planning Timeline