15 Dale Close, Lucy Lane North, Stanway, Colchester, CO3 0FQ

UPRN:303000582End Terrace Bungalow1 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (71)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

15 Dale Close, Lucy Lane North, Stanway, Colchester, CO3 0FQ

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£213,000

£192k - £235kMedium

Estimate

£213k

Range

£192k – £235k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£950

£900 - £1k

Monthly

£950

Yield

4.75%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 Dale Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 59/100. Investment score 57/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is limited (35/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

59/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

57/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

57/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

35/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 13Bike 48

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-0.6/15
claims [AVM -12.7% (MEDIUM), sold-comps -20.0%, £/sqft -20.1%] → measured edge -0.12pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 303000582· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 16.6%· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.8%; range width penalty ×0.99
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 950/mo (range 900-1000)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 2 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -444/mo, -47% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 57 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
388 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£180,000£276,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£240,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£950/mo

Evidenced range £900-£1,000

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £75,600
Net cash flow: -£152/mo
Cash on cash: -2.4%
Score at this price: 12

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.17 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 303000582Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 16.6%Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 950/mo (range 900-1000)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 2 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 950/mo (range 900-1000)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
listing text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£213,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£950

Gross Yield4.75%

1y Growth+16.7%

3y Growth-2.5%

5y Growth+0.5%

10y Growth+2.1%

Last Sold Price£112,000 (2010-11-16)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CO3 0FQ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

261738
Variation of Condition 1 of planning consent COL/95/0861 - To expand the range of goods that can be sold from the unit
Pending
261686
Proposed side extension to form additional living accommodation
Pending
261646
Application for prior approval of a proposed enlargement of a dwellinghouse by addition of a first floor to the existing bungalow property with a double side extension.
Rejected

View Planning Timeline