Walnut Tree Lodge, 4 Dormy Houses, East Road, East Mersea, Colchester, CO5 8UW

UPRN:303008031Mid Terrace House3 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: E (48)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Walnut Tree Lodge, 4 Dormy Houses, East Road, East Mersea, Colchester, CO5 8UW

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£679,000

£543k - £815kLow

Estimate

£679k

Range

£543k – £815k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,700

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,700

Yield

5.63%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Walnut Tree Lodge earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 56/100. Investment score 51/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (12/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

56/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

51/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

15/ 100

Low

Walkability

12/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 2Bike 30

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Not scored as an opportunity

We will not put a number on this one.

headline score requires valuation_edge (estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor)

What we could establish

Rental economics4.2/40
gross yield 5.6%; range width penalty ×0.83; the estimate this rent rides on sits 15% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2700/mo (range 2450-2950)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 15% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -571/mo, -21% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity9.2/15
338 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 40%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

Withholding a score is deliberate. A number built on missing or stale inputs would look more certain than the evidence allows.

Economics

What happens to your money

Your assumptions

Purchase price£575,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,700/mo

Evidenced range £2,450-£2,950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £192,550
Net cash flow: -£71/mo
Cash on cash: -0.4%
Score at this price: -

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.39 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2700/mo (range 2450-2950)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 15% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Valuation edge could not be scored
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2700/mo (range 2450-2950)

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Fill the valuation edge gap before relying on the score.
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£679,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,700

Gross Yield5.63%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.3%

5y Growth+0.4%

10y Growth+2.3%

Last Sold Price£187,000 (2000-09-26)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1CO5 8UW

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

261847
Retrospective application for the retention of 2no. storage containers, hardstanding and a livestock pen, and the erection of a roof and timber cladding between and over the containers, on agricultural land.
Pending
261753
Removal of existing window and patio doors and replacing these with new large bi-fold doors, converting flat roof over existing rear extenion to form balcony
Pending
260504
Application to vary condition 2 (drawings) of planning permission 240368
Conditions

View Planning Timeline