2 Elmcroft, Elmcroft Drive, Ashford, TW15 2PG

UPRN:33031418Flat/MaisonetteBeds -Built 1950-1966

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: D (60)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 2mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

2 Elmcroft, Elmcroft Drive, Ashford, TW15 2PG

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£298,000

£268k - £328kMedium

Estimate

£298k

Range

£268k – £328k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,500

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,500

Yield

5.67%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

2 Elmcroft earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 82/100. Investment score 69/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is good (80/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

82/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

69/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

15/ 100

Low

Walkability

80/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 16Bike 45

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -6.5% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 33031418· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics5/40
gross yield 5.7%; range width penalty ×0.93
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1400-1600)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -367/mo, -24% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 91 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
256 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£238,000£365,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£317,500

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,500/mo

Evidenced range £1,400-£1,600

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £102,425
Net cash flow: -£33/mo
Cash on cash: -0.4%
Score at this price: 18

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.40 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 33031418Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1400-1600)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1500/mo (range 1400-1600)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 91 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£298,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,500

Gross Yield5.67%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+3.0%

5y Growth+3.1%

10y Growth+2.4%

Last Sold Price£290,000 (2016-02-16)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0TW15 2PG

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01148/FUL
Installation of 1 no. BT Street Hub Unit and associated illuminated advertisement panels on either side of unit.
Pending
26/01149/ADV
Advertisement consent for installation of 1 no. BT Street Hub Unit and associated illuminated advertisement panels on either side of the unit. As shown on drawings SUR-51 001 REV A, SUR-512 002 REV A, SUR-51 003 REV A, SUR-51 004 REV A, SUR-51, and STH-001 all received 02.11.2026
Pending
26/01061/FUL
First-floor rear extension to create one new studio flat with rear dormer (including alterations to the parking layout approved in planning permission 22/00581/FUL). Alternative to approved 24/00110/FUL with the addition of a rear dormer
Pending

View Planning Timeline