Willow Cottage, Walton Bridge Road, Shepperton, TW17 8LX

UPRN:33036230Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: D (65)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 2mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Willow Cottage, Walton Bridge Road, Shepperton, TW17 8LX

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£654,000

£621k - £687kHigh

Estimate

£654k

Range

£621k – £687k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,700

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,700

Yield

4.98%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Willow Cottage earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 80/100. Investment score 66/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is excellent (86/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

80/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

66/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

24/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

86/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 8Bike 68

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 30 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +0.6% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 33036230· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 5.0%; range width penalty ×0.83
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2700/mo (range 2450-2950)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -888/mo, -33% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 260 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 30 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
158 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£487,500£747,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£650,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,700/mo

Evidenced range £2,450-£2,950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £218,800
Net cash flow: -£325/mo
Cash on cash: -1.8%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.23 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 33036230Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2700/mo (range 2450-2950)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 30 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2700/mo (range 2450-2950)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 260 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£654,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,700

Gross Yield4.98%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.8%

5y Growth+2.2%

10y Growth+2.5%

Last Sold Price£555,000 (2021-04-01)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0TW17 8LX

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01124/TCA
Tree in the Manygate Lane Conservation Area - Magnolia - Fell
Pending
26/01050/TPO
TPO090/T001 - 1 x Ash (shown as T1 on plan) to crown reduce back to previous reduction points, reducing height from 12m to 9.5m and spread from 8m to 4m.
Pending
26/01021/HOU
Erection of a single storey side/rear extension with gable end roof on the southern side (following demolition of existing attached single storey structures on the eastern side).
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership64%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2021-04-01
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

16 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£37,918

Population Density-

Owner Occupied85%

Age Distribution

0-15 13%16-64 54%65+ 33%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Thamesmead School
0.5 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Halliford School
0.5 mi
Inspected by ISI
Ashley Church of England Primary School
0.8 mi
Good
St Nicholas CofE Primary School
0.8 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

3 of 9 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

47 Walton Bridge Road
-
£537k
-
61 Walton Bridge Road
-
£430k
-
67 Walton Bridge Road
-
£452k
-
Willow Cottage Walton Bridge Road
-
£555k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN