4 The District Bakery, 148 Woodthorpe Road, Ashford, TW15 3LH

UPRN:33052074Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt -

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: B (86)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 2mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

4 The District Bakery, 148 Woodthorpe Road, Ashford, TW15 3LH

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£319,000

£303k - £335kHigh

Estimate

£319k

Range

£303k – £335k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,600

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,600

Yield

6.00%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

4 The District Bakery earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 85/100. Investment score 75/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is good (76/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

85/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

75/ 100

High

Crime Score

8/ 100

Low

Walkability

76/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 13Bike 50

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.3% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 33052074· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics7.6/40
gross yield 6.0%; range width penalty ×0.95
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1500-1700)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -317/mo, -20% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 85 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
256 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£240,000£368,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£320,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,600/mo

Evidenced range £1,500-£1,700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £103,300
Net cash flow: £28/mo
Cash on cash: 0.3%
Score at this price: 22

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.48 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 33052074Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1500-1700)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1600/mo (range 1500-1700)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
service charge / ground rent from the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£319,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,600

Gross Yield6.00%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+3.0%

5y Growth+3.1%

10y Growth+2.4%

Last Sold Price£315,000 (2017-10-18)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0TW15 3LH

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01060/FUL
Demolition of existing detached 2 storey residential building and garage. Construction of a new 2 storey building with additional habitable accommodation in the roof space to create 2 semi-detached, 4-bed dwellings with bin and cycle storage, amenity to rear and frontage parking.
Pending
26/01039/HOU
Erection of single storey rear extension
Pending
26/01034/HOU
Erection of detached outbuilding following demolition of existing summerhouse to be used ancillary to the main residential house.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership66%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2017-10-18
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

16 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£37,918

Population Density6,357 /km²

Owner Occupied81%

Age Distribution

0-15 18%16-64 64%65+ 18%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Ashford Park Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
Fordway Centre
0.6 mi
Outstanding
Thomas Knyvett College
0.6 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
The Matthew Arnold School
0.6 mi
Good

5 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

138 Woodthorpe Road
-
£390k
-
142 Woodthorpe Road
-
£370k
-
154 Woodthorpe Road
-
£435k
-
134 Woodthorpe Road
-
£345k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN