Flat 5, Cray House, 40 Stoke Road, Gosport, PO12 1EJ

UPRN:37037061Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: E (47)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 5, Cray House, 40 Stoke Road, Gosport, PO12 1EJ

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£134,000

£127k - £141kHigh

Estimate

£134k

Range

£127k – £141k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£800

£750 - £850

Monthly

£800

Yield

7.38%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 5 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 80/100. Investment score 67/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is excellent (88/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

80/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

67/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

25/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

88/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 12Bike 79

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +3.0% (HIGH), sold-comps +9.1%, £/sqft +9.3%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 37037061· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 13%· as of 31 Oct 2026
Rental economics18.1/40
gross yield 7.4%; range width penalty ×0.95
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 800/mo (range 750-850)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -163/mo, -20% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 58 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
521 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£97,500£149,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£130,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£800/mo

Evidenced range £750-£850

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £40,400
Net cash flow: £115/mo
Cash on cash: 3.4%
Score at this price: 35

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.82 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 37037061Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 13%Valuation edge · as of 31 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 800/mo (range 750-850)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 800/mo (range 750-850)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 58 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£134,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£800

Gross Yield7.38%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.7%

5y Growth+1.4%

10y Growth+3.1%

Last Sold Price£108,000 (2014-09-26)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0PO12 1EJ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/00315/FULL
USE OF EXISTING HOUSE IN MULTIPLE OCCUPATION AS AN 11-BEDROOM 11-PERSON HMO (SUI GENERIS) FOLLOWING CONVERSION OF EXISTING GYM TO PROVIDE ONE FURTHER BEDROOM (CONSERVATION AREA)
Pending
26/00309/FULL
ERECTION OF EXTENSION TO FORM TWO ADDITIONAL FLOORS TO BUILDING, RETENTION OF GROUND-FLOOR COMMERCIAL UNIT (CLASS E) AND USE OF THE REMAINDER OF THE BUILDING AS A 17-BEDROOM (21-PERSON) HOUSE IN MULTIPLE OCCUPATION (HMO) (SUI GENERIS), INCLUDING ASSOCIATED ALTERATIONS (CONSERVATION AREA) (ALTERNATIVE SCHEME TO PLANNING PERMISSION 26/00122/FULL)
Pending
26/00311/LDCP
SECTION 192 APPLICATION - ERECTION OF OUTBUILDING TO REAR
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership62%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining98 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2014-09-26
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

17 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£34,256

Population Density8,113 /km²

Owner Occupied57%

Age Distribution

0-15 13%16-64 61%65+ 26%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Newtown Church of England Voluntary Controlled Primary School
0.2 mi
Good
Haselworth Primary School
0.3 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Oarsome Chance
0.4 mi
-
St Vincent College
0.4 mi
-

2 of 9 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Cray House, 40 Stoke Road
-
£133k
-
Cray House, 40 Stoke Road
-
£140k
-
Cray House, 40 Stoke Road
-
£140k
-
Cray House, 40 Stoke Road
-
£230k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN