11 The Warren, Newton-le-Willows, WA12 9GR

UPRN:39082478Terrace Property2 bedsBuilt 2007-2011

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band AEPC: C (77)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

11 The Warren, Newton-le-Willows, WA12 9GR

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£147,000

£139k - £154kHigh

Estimate

£147k

Range

£139k – £154k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£900

£850 - £950

Monthly

£900

Yield

8.31%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

11 The Warren earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 58/100. Investment score 59/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is good (75/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

58/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

59/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

80/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

75/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 26Bike 58

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 29 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +11.6% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 39082478· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics25.9/40
gross yield 8.3%; range width penalty ×0.98
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 900/mo (range 850-950)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 29 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -17/mo, -2% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 29 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 155 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 29 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
283 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£97,500£149,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£130,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£900/mo

Evidenced range £850-£950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £40,400
Net cash flow: £184/mo
Cash on cash: 5.5%
Score at this price: 40

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.05 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 39082478Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 900/mo (range 850-950)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 29 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 29 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 29 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 900/mo (range 850-950)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
listing text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£147,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£900

Gross Yield8.31%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.0%

5y Growth+2.4%

10y Growth+3.6%

Last Sold Price£84,000 (2007-11-22)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0WA12 9GR

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P/2026/0556/HHFP
Single storey rear extension.
Pending
A/2026/0035/NMA
Non-material amendment relating to revised drawing numbers on application P/2026/0410/HHFP.
Pending
P/2026/0541/HHFP
Part retrospective application for erection of a outbuilding
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership48.8%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2007-11-22
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

7 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£31,443

Population Density4,735 /km²

Owner Occupied34%

Age Distribution

0-15 15%16-64 66%65+ 19%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Willow Bank School
0.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
The District CofE Primary School
0.4 mi
Inspected as The District CofE Primary School (URN 104792) on 19 Oct 2021
Lyme Community Primary School
0.4 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
St Mary's Catholic Junior Academy
0.6 mi
Inspected as St Mary's Catholic Junior School (URN 104816) on 22 Nov 2022

3 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

17 The Warren
-
£120k
-
9 The Warren
-
£105k
-
17 The Warren
-
£100k
-
9 The Warren
-
£90k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN