11 Carnforth Drive, St. Helens, WA10 6WA

UPRN:39096805Mid Terrace HouseBeds -Built -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: B (83)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

11 Carnforth Drive, St. Helens, WA10 6WA

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£272,000

£245k - £299kMedium

Estimate

£272k

Range

£245k – £299k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,850

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,850

Yield

9.87%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

11 Carnforth Drive earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 67/100. Investment score 68/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (38/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

67/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

68/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

30/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

38/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 17Bike 51

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 17% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +17.3% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 39096805· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics38.3/40
gross yield 9.9%; range width penalty ×0.98; the estimate this rent rides on sits 17% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1850/mo (range 1750-1950)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 17% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin15.2/30
stressed cash flow +281/mo, +15% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 48 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
469 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 80+ up to £169,000

£169,000£258,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£225,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,850/mo

Evidenced range £1,750-£1,950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £70,800
Net cash flow: £521/mo
Cash on cash: 8.8%
Score at this price: 66

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.44 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 39096805Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1850/mo (range 1750-1950)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 17% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1850/mo (range 1750-1950)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 17% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £169,000 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£272,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,850

Gross Yield9.87%

1y Growth+3.1%

3y Growth+4.5%

5y Growth+4.5%

10y Growth+2.5%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0WA10 6WA

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

A/2026/0036/NMA
Non-material amendment to revise approved drainage drawings referenced in condition 1 of application P/2023/0413/RES.
Pending
P/2026/0455/TPO
Works to trees covered by a Tree Preservation Order for 1 ash tree (T1)
Approved
P/2026/0443/FUL
Change of use from C3 (dwellinghouse) to C2 (residential care home) for use of up to 3no children along with external alteration.
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership49.7%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

5 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£31,443

Population Density-

Owner Occupied44%

Age Distribution

0-15 24%16-64 65%65+ 11%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Cowley International College
0.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Rivington Primary School
0.6 mi
Good
St Thomas of Canterbury Catholic Primary School
0.7 mi
Good
St Peter and St Paul Catholic Primary School
0.8 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

6 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

24 Carnforth Drive
-
£225k
-
47 Carnforth Drive
-
£230k
-
14 Carnforth Drive
-
£270k
-
10 Carnforth Drive
-
£230k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN