1 Arley Close, Rainford, St. Helens, WA11 8GQ

UPRN:39101080Detached House4 bedsBuilt 2020

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: B (83)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

1 Arley Close, Rainford, St. Helens, WA11 8GQ

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£374,000

£355k - £393kHigh

Estimate

£374k

Range

£355k – £393k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,550

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,550

Yield

4.38%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

1 Arley Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 76/100. Investment score 69/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (47/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

76/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

69/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

9/ 100

Low

Walkability

47/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 12Bike 50

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 29 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -13.6% (HIGH), sold-comps -13.3%, £/sqft -13.4%] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 39101080· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 13.4%· as of 17 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.4%; range width penalty ×0.81
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1550/mo (range 1400-1700)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -784/mo, -51% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 29 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 37 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 29 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
358 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£319,000£488,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£425,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,550/mo

Evidenced range £1,400-£1,700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £140,050
Net cash flow: -£361/mo
Cash on cash: -3.1%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.08 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 39101080Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 13.4%Valuation edge · as of 17 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1550/mo (range 1400-1700)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 29 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 29 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1550/mo (range 1400-1700)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 37 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£374,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,550

Gross Yield4.38%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+4.8%

5y Growth+5.5%

10y Growth+4.7%

Last Sold Price£335,995 (2022-12-16)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0WA11 8GQ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P/2026/0507/COT
Works to 4no trees in a Conservation Area to cut back overhanging branches.
Pending
P/2026/0502/FUL
Retrospective application for demolition of existing detached garage and erection of replacement single storey detached outbuilding, to provide 2no hairdressing/barbers studios ancillary to existing business at address.
Pending
P/2026/0482/FUL
Proposed new 3.5m high boundary fence between Treetops and adjacent car park and access road.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership58.9%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2022-12-16
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (-)

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£31,443

Population Density-

Owner Occupied69%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 55%65+ 29%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

A.R.T.S. Education
0.1 mi
Good
Corpus Christi Catholic Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
Rainford Brook Lodge Community Primary School
0.5 mi
Inspected as Rainford Brook Lodge Community Primary School (URN 104780) on 9 Nov 2022
Rainford High School
0.6 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

7 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

10 Arley Close
-
£273k
-
12 Arley Close
-
£270k
-
14 Arley Close
-
£290k
-
16 Arley Close
-
£270k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN