15 Millars Pace, Southport, PR9 9FU

UPRN:41061933Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: D (62)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£299,000

£284k - £314kHigh

Estimate

£299k

Range

£284k – £314k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,600

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,600

Yield

5.82%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 Millars Pace earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 76/100. Investment score 63/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (49/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

76/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

63/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

6/ 100

Low

Walkability

49/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 24Bike 36

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -10.4% (HIGH), sold-comps -25.0%, £/sqft -25.0%] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 41061933· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 18.6%· as of 27 Oct 2026
Rental economics5.8/40
gross yield 5.8%; range width penalty ×0.89
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1500-1750)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -346/mo, -22% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 58 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
470 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£247,500£379,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£330,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,600/mo

Evidenced range £1,500-£1,750

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £106,800
Net cash flow: -£6/mo
Cash on cash: -0.1%
Score at this price: 19

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.44 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 41061933Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 18.6%Valuation edge · as of 27 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1500-1750)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1600/mo (range 1500-1750)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 58 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£299,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,600

Gross Yield5.82%

1y Growth+40.0%

3y Growth+0.9%

5y Growth+2.1%

10y Growth+2.8%

Last Sold Price£249,000 (2021-04-23)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0PR9 9FU

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

DC/2026/01690
Single storey side extension
Approved
DC/2026/01675
Non-Material Amendment to planning permission DC/2025/01855 approved 16/04/2026 to replace the approved drawings under condition 2 to allow for the erection of a blower building and MCC kiosk as separate structures as opposed to one combined building
Approved
DC/2026/01569
Advertisement consent for the installation of 1 no. two-sided 'D6' outdoor digital display unit within the private pedestrianised area of the Centre
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership68.6%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2021-04-23
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

6 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£29,335

Population Density338 /km²

Owner Occupied89%

Age Distribution

0-15 12%16-64 53%65+ 35%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Marshside Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
Peterhouse School
0.6 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Presfield High School and Specialist College
0.6 mi
Good
St John's Church of England Primary School
0.6 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

0 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

35 Millars Pace
-
£208k
-
33 Millars Pace
-
£210k
-
18 Millars Pace
-
£245k
-
4 Millars Pace
-
£280k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN