39 Ferns Road, Wirral, CH63 2PE

UPRN:42040856Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band AEPC: D (63)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 2mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 3mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£224,000

£213k - £236kHigh

Estimate

£224k

Range

£213k – £236k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£950

£900 - £1k

Monthly

£950

Yield

4.75%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

39 Ferns Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 57/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (52/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

57/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

12/ 100

Low

Walkability

52/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 12Bike 29

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -7.1% (HIGH), sold-comps -31.9%, £/sqft -31.6%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 42040856· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 18.2%· as of 31 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.8%; range width penalty ×0.88
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 950/mo (range 900-1050)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -444/mo, -47% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 74 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
274 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£180,000£276,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£240,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£950/mo

Evidenced range £900-£1,050

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £75,600
Net cash flow: -£152/mo
Cash on cash: -2.4%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.17 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 42040856Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 18.2%Valuation edge · as of 31 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 950/mo (range 900-1050)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 950/mo (range 900-1050)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 74 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£224,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£950

Gross Yield4.75%

1y Growth+33.1%

3y Growth+4.0%

5y Growth+2.7%

10y Growth+4.4%

Last Sold Price£156,000 (2019-10-25)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CH63 2PE

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

ADV/26/00804
Installation of replacement signs to include 1x re-clad existing totem sign, 1x refurbish existing fascia, 1x car park directional sign, 1x set of sign written letters and logo, 2x sign written welcome signs
Pending
LBC/26/00777
Removal of failing exterior paint coatings from the Grade II listed building. No structural alterations, extensions, or demolition are included.
Pending
APPH/26/00714
Single storey rear extension with front infill extension with new lean to roof
Pending

View Planning Timeline