53 Commercial Street, Aberbargoed, Bargoed, CF81 9BT

UPRN:43003543Mid Terrace House3 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (69)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

53 Commercial Street, Aberbargoed, Bargoed, CF81 9BT

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£131,000

£118k - £144kMedium

Estimate

£131k

Range

£118k – £144k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£950

£900 - £950

Monthly

£950

Yield

8.14%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

53 Commercial Street earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 64/100. Investment score 65/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

64/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

65/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

57/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 30 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -6.9% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43003543· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics25.1/40
gross yield 8.1%; range width penalty ×1.00
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 950/mo (range 900-950)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -22/mo, -2% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 80 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 30 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
142 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£105,000£161,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£140,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£950/mo

Evidenced range £900-£950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £43,600
Net cash flow: £185/mo
Cash on cash: 5.1%
Score at this price: 38

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.01 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43003543Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 950/mo (range 900-950)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 30 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 950/mo (range 900-950)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 80 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£131,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£950

Gross Yield8.14%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.1%

5y Growth+4.7%

10y Growth+5.8%

Last Sold Price£72,500 (2008-06-12)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CF81 9BT

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0693/HH
Erect single storey side and rear wrap-around extension with alterations
Pending
26/0568/COU
Change the use of basement and ground floor from pet shop A1 to unique use (nail salon) and change the use of first floor from pet shop A1 to two bed flat C3A
Pending
26/0536/HH
Extend existing garage
Approved

View Planning Timeline