4 Maes-yr-Onen, Nelson, Treharris, CF46 6LF

UPRN:43005384End Terrace House3 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: D (62)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 2mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

4 Maes-yr-Onen, Nelson, Treharris, CF46 6LF

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£156,000

£148k - £164kHigh

Estimate

£156k

Range

£148k – £164k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,250

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,250

Yield

11.54%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

4 Maes-yr-Onen earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 84/100. Investment score 68/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

84/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

68/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

7/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 17% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +16.7% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43005384· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics40/40
gross yield 11.5%; range width penalty ×1.00; the estimate this rent rides on sits 17% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1200-1300)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 17% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin19.2/30
stressed cash flow +240/mo, +19% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 284 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
139 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 80+ up to £110,500

£97,500£149,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£130,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,250/mo

Evidenced range £1,200-£1,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £40,400
Net cash flow: £427/mo
Cash on cash: 12.7%
Score at this price: 74

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.85 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43005384Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1200-1300)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 17% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1250/mo (range 1200-1300)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 17% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £110,500 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
4. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£156,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,250

Gross Yield11.54%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+6.7%

5y Growth+5.2%

10y Growth+3.3%

Last Sold Price£139,000 (2022-05-05)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CF46 6LF

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0684/NMA
Seek approval of a non-material amendment to planning consent 26/0539/HH (Part demolish existing garage and erect a single storey extension) to amend external finish to blockwork and remove roof lantern
Pending
26/0676/HH
Erect first floor rear extension
Pending
26/0673/HH
Erect two storey rear extension
Pending

View Planning Timeline