100 Commercial Street, Senghenydd, Caerphilly, CF83 4GZ

UPRN:43006475Mid Terrace House3 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: D (65)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· freshAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

100 Commercial Street, Senghenydd, Caerphilly, CF83 4GZ

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£138,000

£124k - £152kMedium

Estimate

£138k

Range

£124k – £152k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£750

£700 - £800

Monthly

£750

Yield

5.62%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

100 Commercial Street earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 77/100. Investment score 67/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

77/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

67/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

19/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-0.6/15
claims [AVM -15.9% (MEDIUM), sold-comps -41.6%, £/sqft -41.1%] → measured edge -0.12pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43006475· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 18.1%· as of 28 Oct 2026
Rental economics4.7/40
gross yield 5.6%; range width penalty ×0.93
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 750/mo (range 700-800)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -254/mo, -34% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 53 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
552 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£120,000£184,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£160,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£750/mo

Evidenced range £700-£800

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £50,000
Net cash flow: -£21/mo
Cash on cash: -0.5%
Score at this price: 17

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.39 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43006475Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 18.1%Valuation edge · as of 28 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 750/mo (range 700-800)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 750/mo (range 700-800)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 53 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£138,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£750

Gross Yield5.62%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+3.9%

5y Growth+5.6%

10y Growth+4.8%

Last Sold Price£66,500 (2015-10-02)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CF83 4GZ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

25/0604/COU
Change the use from residential dwelling to a HMO C4 (maximum 5 persons)
Pending
25/0467/FULL
Erect first floor side extension to create two additional en-suite bedrooms
Approved
25/0378/COND
Discharge of condition 4 (Contamination) of Planning Permission 20/0087/LA (Extend curtilage of school and erect a standalone building to accommodate a nursery together with access, play area and associated works)
Conditions

View Planning Timeline