11 Dan-y-Gaer Road, Gelligaer, Hengoed, CF82 8EP

UPRN:43012255Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (73)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

11 Dan-y-Gaer Road, Gelligaer, Hengoed, CF82 8EP

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

15 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£151,000

£143k - £158kHigh

Estimate

£151k

Range

£143k – £158k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£650

£600 - £700

Monthly

£650

Yield

5.20%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

11 Dan-y-Gaer Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 70/100. Investment score 70/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

70/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

70/ 100

High

Crime Score

39/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 31 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +0.7% (HIGH), sold-comps +45.3%, £/sqft +45.3%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43012255· as of 10 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 10.1%· as of 21 Oct 2026
Rental economics1.4/40
gross yield 5.2%; range width penalty ×0.89
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 650/mo (range 600-700)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -285/mo, -44% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 31 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 168 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 31 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
197 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£112,500£172,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£150,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£650/mo

Evidenced range £600-£700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £46,800
Net cash flow: -£56/mo
Cash on cash: -1.4%
Score at this price: 19

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.28 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 43012255Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 10.1%Valuation edge · as of 21 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 650/mo (range 600-700)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 31 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 31 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 650/mo (range 600-700)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 168 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£151,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£650

Gross Yield5.20%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+3.9%

5y Growth+4.0%

10y Growth+4.7%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CF82 8EP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0587/NMA
Seek approval of a non-material amendment to planning consent 26/0403/HH (Erect two storey side extension) to amend extension width from 2100mm to be 2700mm
Approved
26/0403/HH
Erect two storey side extension
Approved
26/0306/COND
Discharge conditions 04 (Biodiversity strategy) 05 (Tree Protection Plan) and 06 (Landscaping Scheme) of planning consent 25/0720/HH (Erect two storey side extension and expand existing front porch)
Pending

View Planning Timeline