44 First Avenue, Caerphilly, CF83 2SB

UPRN:43014642-Beds -Built 1930-1949

Tenure: -Council Tax: -EPC: D (65)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

15 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£188,000

£150k - £226kLow

Estimate

£188k

Range

£150k – £226k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£850

£800 - £950

Monthly

£850

Yield

6.80%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

44 First Avenue earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 66/100. Investment score 63/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

66/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

63/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

40/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Not scored as an opportunity

We will not put a number on this one.

headline score requires valuation_edge (estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor)

What we could establish

Rental economics12.2/40
gross yield 6.8%; range width penalty ×0.85; the estimate this rent rides on sits 20% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 850/mo (range 800-950)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 20% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -138/mo, -16% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity9.2/15
552 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 40%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

Withholding a score is deliberate. A number built on missing or stale inputs would look more certain than the evidence allows.

Economics

What happens to your money

Your assumptions

Purchase price£150,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£850/mo

Evidenced range £800-£950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £46,800
Net cash flow: £82/mo
Cash on cash: 2.1%
Score at this price: -

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.68 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 850/mo (range 800-950)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 20% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Valuation edge could not be scored
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 850/mo (range 800-950)

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Fill the valuation edge gap before relying on the score.
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£188,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£850

Gross Yield6.80%

1y Growth+15.7%

3y Growth+3.9%

5y Growth+5.6%

10y Growth+4.8%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CF83 2SB

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0715/RET
Retain the erection of a 2.3m high close-boarded timber fence
Pending
26/0710/HH
Erect single storey conservatory to the rear of the property
Pending
26/0706/CLPU
Obtain a Lawful Development Certificate for the proposed installation of solar panels
Pending

View Planning Timeline